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USD/JPY Price Analysis: Climbs back to 142.00 mark, seems poised to appreciate further

  • USD/JPY attracts some buying near the 100-hour SMA for the second straight day on Thursday.
  • The price action favours bullish traders and supports prospects for a further appreciating move.
  • A sustained break below the weekly trading range support is needed to negate the positive bias.

The USD/JPY pair finds support near the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) for the second straight day on Thursday and climbs back to the 142.00 neighbourhood during the early European session. Spot prices, however, remain below the YTD peak touched on Wednesday and well within a familiar trading range held since the beginning of the current week.

Against the backdrop of the recent appreciating move witnessed over the past two weeks or so, the rang-bound price action might still be categorized as a bullish consolidation phase. Furthermore, last week's sustained breakout through a horizontal resistance near the 141.00 mark supports prospects for additional gains. That said, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart is hovering just below the overbought territory and holding back traders from placing fresh bullish bets around the USD/JPY pair.

Nevertheless, spot prices remain on track to build on over a one-month-old uptrend and climb further beyond the 142.35 area, or the highest level since November 2022 touched on Wednesday, towards reclaiming the 143.00 round figure. The upward trajectory could get extended further towards the next relevant hurdle near the 143.75 region en route to the 144.00 mark. The USD/JPY pair might eventually climb to the 144.30-144.35 intermediate hurdle, above which bulls might aim to reclaim the 145.00 psychological mark.

On the flip side, the 100-hour SMA, currently around the 141.670-141.65 area, now seems to protect the immediate downside ahead of the 141.30-141.20 area, or the weekly low. A convincing break below the latter might prompt some technical selling and drag the USD/JPY pair below the 141.00 mark, towards the 140.60-140.55 horizontal support. Any subsequent decline might attract fresh buyers near the 140.25 zone and remain limited near the 140.00 psychological mark. The latter should act as a strong base for spot prices, which if broken might shift the bias in favour of bearish traders.

USD/JPY 1-hour chart

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Key levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price141.98
Today Daily Change0.10
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open141.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA20140.21
Daily SMA50137.4
Daily SMA100135.37
Daily SMA200137.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High142.37
Previous Daily Low141.28
Previous Weekly High141.92
Previous Weekly Low139.01
Previous Monthly High140.93
Previous Monthly Low133.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%141.95
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%141.7
Daily Pivot Point S1141.32
Daily Pivot Point S2140.76
Daily Pivot Point S3140.24
Daily Pivot Point R1142.41
Daily Pivot Point R2142.93
Daily Pivot Point R3143.49

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

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