|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Buyers react to a bullish-doji in the daily chart

  • Based on a softer US inflation report, USD/JPY climbs during the week by 1.14%, after a volatile last three days.
  • USD/JPY is neutral biased, but a doji emerging in the daily chart could pave the way for further upside.
  • In the near term, the major is sideways, though oscillators point upwards, so it is slightly skewed to the upside.

The USD/JPY slightly climbed on Thursday following the release of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment for August, which exceeded estimations, but consumer expectations of inflation remained mixed. Nevertheless, it was not an excuse for investors seeking return, shifting toward riskier assets, to the detriment of safe-haven assets. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 133.48 above its opening price by 0.39%.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY daily chart portrays Thursday’s price action formed a doji, preceded by a downtrend, indicating that the downtrend is losing steam. Worth noticing the Relative Strength Index accelerated its uptrend to the 50-midline, showing that buying pressure is picking up. Nevertheless, the major remains sideways unless buyers reclaim the 50-day EMA at 135.29.

In the near term, the USD/JPY hourly chart the pair as neutral. However, price action since late Wednesday shows that the pair has begun trading upwards, but at a steady pace, as shown by the Relative Strenght Index (RSI), which could mean some things: USD/JPY shorts booking profits, after a stellar run of 700 pips downwards, and buyers slowly beginning to add to their longs, in speculation of higher US 10-year bond yield rates.

Therefore, the USD/JPY is sideways. Upwards, the major’s first resistance would be the confluence of the 100 and 200-hour EMAs at 133.84-85, followed by the 135.00 figure, followed by the August 10 high at 135.30.

On the flip side, the USD/JPY first support would e the 50-hour EMA at 133.07. The break below exposes crucial demand zones, the August 11 pivot low at 131.73, followed by the August 2 low at 130.39.

USD/JPY Hourly chart

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price133.5
Today Daily Change0.47
Today Daily Change %0.35
Today daily open133.03
 
Trends
Daily SMA20135.35
Daily SMA50135.27
Daily SMA100131.24
Daily SMA200123.16
 
Levels
Previous Daily High133.31
Previous Daily Low131.73
Previous Weekly High135.5
Previous Weekly Low130.4
Previous Monthly High139.39
Previous Monthly Low132.5
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%132.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%132.34
Daily Pivot Point S1132.07
Daily Pivot Point S2131.11
Daily Pivot Point S3130.49
Daily Pivot Point R1133.65
Daily Pivot Point R2134.27
Daily Pivot Point R3135.23

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold retains bullish bias ahead of this week’s key US macro releases

Gold attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs to the $4,330 region during the Asian session on Monday. The commodity remains well within striking distance of its highest level since October 21, touched on Friday, and seems poised to appreciate further amid a supportive fundamental backdrop. 

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.