USD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls approach 129.00 within weekly triangle


  • USD/JPY picks up bids to reverse the previous day’s losses inside one-week-old symmetrical triangle.
  • Gradually firming oscillators suggest further grinding towards the north.
  • Monthly descending trend line, 200-EMA add to the upside filters.

USD/JPY adds strength to the weekly gains as bulls flirt with the intraday high of around 128.80 during early Friday. In doing so, the Yen pair stays inside a one-week-old symmetrical triangle while extending the bounce off the lowest levels since late May 2022.

That said, the gradually firming RSI (14) line, not overbought, joins the bullish MACD signals to underpin the hopes of the quote’s further advances.

As a result, the USD/JPY buyers are up for challenging the 129.00 round figure. However, the early-January swing low near 129.50 and the 130.00 psychological magnet could challenge the quote’s further upside.

In a case where the USD/JPY prices rally beyond 130.00, the 100-Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and the upper line of the stated triangle, respectively around 130.70 and 131.10, could probe the bulls.

Also acting as a strong upside challenge for the pair is the downward-sloping resistance line from mid-December 2022 and the 200-EMA, respectively near 132.65 and 132.85.

On the flip side, an ascending trend line from Monday, close to 127.85, restricts immediate USD/JPY declines before the monthly low of 127.21.

It’s worth observing that the lows marked during late May 2022 near 126.35 could act as the last defense of the USD/JPY buyers.

Overall, USD/JPY is likely to consolidate the latest losses but the upside room appears limited.

USD/JPY: Four-hour chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 128.75
Today Daily Change 0.31
Today Daily Change % 0.24%
Today daily open 128.44
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 131.28
Daily SMA50 134.98
Daily SMA100 140.2
Daily SMA200 136.7
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 128.93
Previous Daily Low 127.76
Previous Weekly High 132.87
Previous Weekly Low 127.46
Previous Monthly High 138.18
Previous Monthly Low 130.57
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 128.21
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 128.49
Daily Pivot Point S1 127.82
Daily Pivot Point S2 127.2
Daily Pivot Point S3 126.65
Daily Pivot Point R1 128.99
Daily Pivot Point R2 129.55
Daily Pivot Point R3 130.16

 

 

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