- USD/JPY remains downtrend but is about to form a bullish harami candle pattern, suggesting an upward correction on the cards.
- USD/JPY Price Analysis: Once it clears 129.50, it could rally towards 131.57 before turning neutral.
USD/JPY slumps in a choppy New York trading session and edges beneath 130.00 after a round of US economic data, suggesting the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could begin to hike rates in 25 bps sizes. Therefore, the Japanese Yen (JPY) strengthened, so the USD/JPY is down 0.24%. At the time of writing, the USD/JPY is trading at 129.92.
USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook
The USD/JPY remains downward biased as the pair has remained below the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 130.60. Friday’s price action remains contained within the boundaries of Thursday’s high and low, opening the door for a bullish harami candlestick formation, also known as an inside day, in the regular bar chart jargon. Therefore, the USD/JPY could print a leg-up before resuming its downtrend.
Hence, the USD/JPY next resistance would be 130.00, followed by the confluence of the 20-day EMA and a downslope trendline around 130.60, which, once cleared, might send the USD/JPY climbing towards the January 24 swing high at 131.11. Break above will expose the January 18 high of 131.57.
As an alternate scenario, the USD/JPY could fall towards 129.49, January’s 27 low. Once broken, the next support would be the weekly low of 129.02, followed by the YTD low at 127.21.
USD/JPY Key Technical Levels
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD struggles to hold above 1.0400 as mood sours
EUR/USD stays on the back foot and trades near 1.0400 following the earlier recovery attempt. The holiday mood kicked in, keeping action limited across the FX board, while a cautious risk mood helped the US Dollar hold its ground and forced the pair to stretch lower.
GBP/USD approaches 1.2500 on renewed USD strength
GBP/USD loses its traction and trades near 1.2500 in the second half of the day on Monday. The US Dollar (USD) benefits from safe-haven flows and weighs on the pair as trading conditions remain thin heading into the Christmas holiday.
Gold hovers around $2,610 in quiet pre-holiday trading
Gold struggles to build on Friday's gains and trades modestly lower on the day near $2,620. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield edges slightly higher above 4.5%, making it difficult for XAU/USD to gather bullish momentum.
Bitcoin fails to recover as Metaplanet buys the dip
Bitcoin hovers around $95,000 on Monday after losing the progress made during Friday’s relief rally. The largest cryptocurrency hit a new all-time high at $108,353 on Tuesday but this was followed by a steep correction after the US Fed signaled fewer interest-rate cuts than previously anticipated for 2025.
Bank of England stays on hold, but a dovish front is building
Bank of England rates were maintained at 4.75% today, in line with expectations. However, the 6-3 vote split sent a moderately dovish signal to markets, prompting some dovish repricing and a weaker pound. We remain more dovish than market pricing for 2025.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.