- USD/JPY bears are staring to lick their lips.
- The price is breaking daily dynamic support.
USD/JPY is up some 0.3% on the day trading at around 144.70 having travelled up from a low of 143.98 to a high of 144.91 so far. at this juncture, the Yen that's under intervention watch after the Japanese finance minister warned last week of excessive moves in the currency market.
Data on the day in the US from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed that manufacturing PMI dropped to 46.0 from 46.9 in May, the lowest reading since May 2020. It marked the eighth straight month that the PMI has been below the 50 threshold indicating contraction. Consequently, USD/JPY's current bullish trend could continue to decelerate as we have seen over the last few days.
The following illustrates the prospects of a correction in a top-down analysis:
USD/JPY monthly charts
The W-formation is a reversion pattern that could play out to the downside in time.
USD/JPY weekly
The current weekly highs could be the highest pot we will see for some time and as correction back to old highs neat 140.90 could be on the cards. The 61.8% Fibonacci aligns with those as well.
USD/JPY daily chart
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Nearer term, the daily chart is breaking the trendline support and a target of 142.00 aligns with old highs and a 78.6% Fibonacci level.
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