|

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Back above 144.50, as a break of 145.00 could spur another FX intervention

  • The USD/JPY bounces off the 143.00 regions and is back above 144.50 after last week’s BoJ FX intervention.
  • Following the Japanese intervention in the FX space, the USD/JPY recovered some 3%.
  • Near term, the USD/JPY might re-test the 145.00 area, despite increasing concerns of being the BoJ’s line in the sand, opening the door for another FX intervention,

The USD/JPY is recovering some ground after last week’s BoJ FX intervention that bolstered the Japanese yen from trading at around 145.00 price levels towards the 140.34 area. Nevertheless, USD/JPY traders are again lifting the spot price towards the 145.00 mark, as the USD/JPY trades at around 144.66, above its opening price at the time of writing.

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/JPY remains upward biased after dipping towards the 140.00 region. Worth noting that following the BoJ intervention in the markets, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) edged lower. However, at the time of typing, RSI crossed above its 7-day RSI SMA, suggesting that buyers are gathering momentum as the major hits the 144.00 thresholds.

Short term, the 4-hour scale portrays the USD/JPY strength, with the major clearing the R2 daily pivot at 144.52. Furthermore, after diving towards oversold conditions, oscillators, mainly the Relative Strength Index (RSI), are back in positive territory.

Suppose the USD/JPY clears the 144.99 area, that could pave the way for another FX intervention by Japanese authorities. If it does not, the next USD/JPY resistance would be the September 21 daily high at 145.39, followed by the R3 daily pivot at 145.63.

On the other hand, failure at  145.00 could send the major sliding towards the S1 daily pivot at 143.95. Break below will expose the confluence of the 20 and 50-EMAs around 143.34/36, followed by the daily pivot at 142.85.

USD/JPY Key Technical Levels

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price144.68
Today Daily Change1.37
Today Daily Change %0.96
Today daily open143.31
 
Trends
Daily SMA20142.21
Daily SMA50138.14
Daily SMA100135.45
Daily SMA200127.21
 
Levels
Previous Daily High143.46
Previous Daily Low141.76
Previous Weekly High145.9
Previous Weekly Low140.35
Previous Monthly High139.08
Previous Monthly Low130.4
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%142.81
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%142.41
Daily Pivot Point S1142.23
Daily Pivot Point S2141.15
Daily Pivot Point S3140.53
Daily Pivot Point R1143.93
Daily Pivot Point R2144.54
Daily Pivot Point R3145.62

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold aims to regain the ground lost

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).