|

USD/JPY: Oversold weakness has not stabilized – UOB Group

UD Dollar (USD) has gathered downward momentum vs Japanese Yen (JPY), but it might not be able to break below 145.00. In the longer run, oversold weakness has not stabilized; there is a chance for USD to drop below 145.00 again before the risk of another rebound increases, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USD can drop below 145.00 again

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, we were of the view that USD 'is likely to trade in a range between 146.00 and 149.00.' USD traded in a 145.95/148.12 range and closed at 146.28. While the decline in the early Asian trade today has gathered momentum, USD might not be able to break below 145.00 (there is another support level at 144.40). Resistance levels are at 146.10 and 146.65."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "When USD was at 147.50 yesterday (08 Apr), we pointed out that 'the oversold weakness in USD has not stabilized.' We indicated that 'there is a chance for USD to drop below 145.00 again before the risk of another rebound increases.' We will continue to hold the same view provided that 148.50 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 149.00 yesterday) is not breached. Looking ahead, if USD closes below 145.00, it will increase the likelihood of a drop to the significant support at 143.50."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD struggles for direction amid USD gains

EUR/USD is trimming part of its earlier gains, coming under some mild downside pressure near 1.1730 as the US Dollar edges higher. Markets are still digesting the Fed’s latest rate decision, while also looking ahead to more commentary from Fed officials in the sessions ahead.

GBP/USD drops to daily lows near 1.3360

Disappointing UK data weighed on the Sterling towards the end of the week, triggering a pullback in GBP/USD to fresh daily lows near 1.3360. Looking ahead, the next key event across the Channel is the BoE meeting on December 18.

Gold holds steady above $4,300 amid supportive fundamental backdrop

Gold kicks off the new week on a slightly positive note following Friday's late pullback from levels just above mid-$4,300s or the highest since October 21. Bets for two more rate cuts by the US Fed next year continue to act as a tailwind for the non-yielding bullion. Apart from this, a softer risk tone and geopolitical uncertainties benefit the safe-haven precious metal. However, a modest US Dollar uptick might cap gains ahead of the delayed US NFP report on Tuesday.

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.