USD/JPY moves sideways above 106 ahead of US inflation data


  • 10-year US Treasury bond yield stays little changed on Friday. 
  • US Dollar Index clings to daily gains near mid-98s.
  • US annual core PCE Price Index is expected to remain unchanged at 1.6% in July.

After closing the previous two days in the positive territory supported by risk-on flows, the USD/JPY pair had gone into a consolidation phase and been having a tough time setting its next short-term direction ahead of key macroeconomic data releases from the United States. As of writing, the pair was down 0.14% on the day at 106.33.

The upbeat market sentiment in the second half of the week amid rising hopes of the US-China continuing talks without escalating the trade conflict any further made it difficult for safe-havens to find demand. The 30-year US Treasury bond yield, which slumped to a record low earlier in the week, stage a decisive recovery and major global equity indexes posted strong gains. As of writing, the S&P 500 Futures was up 0.6% on the day, suggesting that Wall Street will extend its rally into a third day on Friday.

Eyes on key US data

Meanwhile, ahead of today's key macroeconomic data releases, the US Dollar Index is staying quiet near the multi-week highs that it set at 98.61 earlier in the day.

The US Bureau of Economic ANalysis (BEA) today will release the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation. Markets expect the core version of the data to remain unchanged at 1.6% in July. A stronger-than-expected reading could weigh on expectations of the Fed opting out for an aggressive rate cut in July and provide a boost to the Greenback. Personal spending, personal income, and consumer confidence data will also be featured in the US economic docket on Friday.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 106.36
Today Daily Change -0.15
Today Daily Change % -0.14
Today daily open 106.51
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 106.17
Daily SMA50 107.31
Daily SMA100 108.65
Daily SMA200 109.77
Levels
Previous Daily High 106.68
Previous Daily Low 105.83
Previous Weekly High 106.74
Previous Weekly Low 105.26
Previous Monthly High 109.01
Previous Monthly Low 107.21
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 106.36
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 106.16
Daily Pivot Point S1 106
Daily Pivot Point S2 105.49
Daily Pivot Point S3 105.14
Daily Pivot Point R1 106.86
Daily Pivot Point R2 107.2
Daily Pivot Point R3 107.71

 

 

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