|

USD/JPY looks to approach 148.50 on BoJ’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged

  • USD/JPY retraces the recent losses due to the BoJ’s decision on no-interest rate change.
  • BoJ could consider adjusting its ultra-loose monetary policy when reaching a 2% inflation target is within reach.
  • Investors await US data to gain valuable insights into the economic conditions in the country.

USD/JPY retraces the losses registered on Thursday on the back of a policy rate decision by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). As widely expected, BoJ maintained its current interest rates at -0.1%. The spot price is trading higher around 148.30 during the early trading hours of the European session on Friday.

BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda conducted the press conference of the post-September policy meeting on Friday. The BoJ Governor has mentioned that the BOJ could contemplate ending yield curve control and adjusting its negative interest rate policy when they believe that achieving 2% inflation is on the horizon.

The policymaker has emphasized that there is "no change to the way of the policy decision-making process," indicating that the BOJ continues to carefully analyze new data at each monetary policy meeting.

Ueda further stated that they have not yet seen inflation reaching a stable 2% level. He also mentioned that the next monetary policy decision in October will be driven by data, including the government's extension of gasoline subsidies.

The BoJ is prepared to implement further easing measures if deemed necessary. Ueda acknowledged that there is a high degree of uncertainty regarding economic conditions, price trends, as well as currency and financial markets.

Japan’s National Consumer Price Index (YoY) report for August printed a reading of 3.2% compared to the previous rate of 3.3%. While National CPI ex-Fresh Food (YoY) remained consistent at 3.1% against the expected 3.0%.

US Dollar Index (DXY) trades higher around 105.40, and these gains can be attributed in part to the positive performance of US Treasury yields. The yield on the 10-year US bond has improved to 4.49% at the time of writing, the highest level since 2007.

Market participants await monitor economic data releases, including the preliminary US S&P Global PMIs for September. These figures may provide valuable insights into the economic conditions in the United States (US) and can assist traders in identifying potential trading opportunities involving the US Dollar (USD).

Recent economic data from the US, released on Thursday, presented a mixed picture. Initially, it strengthened the Greenback, signaling a resilient labor market. However, it later experienced a correction.

US Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on September 15 reported a figure of 201,000, representing a decrease from the previous reading of 221,000 and reaching the lowest level since January. This data outperformed expectations, as it was anticipated to be higher at 225,000.

The Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey declined to a reading of 13.5 in September, which fell below expectations. Analysts had expected a decrease of only 0.7 from the previous positive reading of 12.

Regarding Existing Home Sales (MoM), August witnessed a decrease to 4.04 million from the previous figure of 4.07 million. Expectations were for an increase to 4.10 million.

As widely anticipated in the market, the Federal Reserve (Fed) chose to maintain interest rates within the 5.25-5.50% range during its Wednesday meeting. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, during a subsequent press conference, reiterated the Fed's commitment to achieving a 2% inflation target. Powell also mentioned that the Fed is prepared to raise rates if deemed necessary.

USD/JPY: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price148.33
Today Daily Change0.74
Today Daily Change %0.50
Today daily open147.59
 
Trends
Daily SMA20147.09
Daily SMA50144.54
Daily SMA100142.3
Daily SMA200137.58
 
Levels
Previous Daily High148.46
Previous Daily Low147.32
Previous Weekly High147.95
Previous Weekly Low145.9
Previous Monthly High147.38
Previous Monthly Low141.51
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%147.76
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%148.03
Daily Pivot Point S1147.12
Daily Pivot Point S2146.65
Daily Pivot Point S3145.98
Daily Pivot Point R1148.26
Daily Pivot Point R2148.93
Daily Pivot Point R3149.4

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to gains around 1.1800

EUR/USD manages to regain composure and retests the 1.1800 region in quite a positive start to the week. The pair’s bounce follows the US Dollar’s offered stance post-SCOTUS ruling ahead of important US data and Fedspeak on Tuesday.

GBP/USD looks stuck around 1.3500 amid firm gains

GBP/USD is pushing further north on Monday, revisiting the 1.3500 hurdle and beyond. Cable’s uptick is largely being fuelled by the broader softness in the Greenback, amid lingering uncertainty around tariffs.

Gold pops above $5,200, four-week highs

Gold is holding onto its bullish tone on Monday, reaching new multi-week highs just past the $5,200 mark per troy ounce. Fresh trade-war concerns, coupled with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, are keeping demand for the yellow metal well on the rise.

Ethereum Price Forecast: BitMine's holdings reach 4.42 million ETH as Fundstrat predicts 87% win-ratio

Ethereum (ETH) treasury firm BitMine Immersion Technologies (BMNR) scooped up 51,162 ETH last week, marking its largest purchase since December.

Supreme Court nixes tariffs, Trump teases 15% global tariff

On February 20th, the Supreme Court ruled that Trump’s global tariffs under IEEPA authority were unconstitutional, effectively nullifying the framework. However, the relief was short-lived. Within hours, Trump floated a 15% blanket tariff under an alternative legal authority.

XRP recovers slightly as bearish sentiment dominates crypto market

Ripple is rising above $1.40 at the time of writing on Monday amid fresh tariff-triggered headwinds in the broader cryptocurrency market. The sell-off to $1.33, the token’s intraday low, can be attributed to macroeconomic uncertainty, geopolitical tensions and risk-averse sentiment among other factors.