|

USD/JPY floats higher, testing 156.00 after quiet Wednesday

  • USD/JPY found further gains as Yen recedes post-”Yentervention”.
  • US consumer sentiment survey results due on Friday.
  • BoJ remains tight-lipped on FX market interventions.

USD/JPY drifted higher on Wednesday, marking in a third straight day of easy gains as the pair pares away recent losses from two suspected “Yenterventions” by the Bank of Japan (BoJ). The Yen has battled back from multi-decade lows, but progress is limited as the JPY resumes deflating across the board.

The US economic data docket is fairly light this week, with only mid-tier data on the offering until Friday’s University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index. The UoM’s indexed survey of consumer economic expectations for May is expected to tick down to 76.0 MoM compared to the previous month’s 77.2. The UoM Consumer Sentiment Survey hit a two-and-a-half year high of 79.4 in March.

The BoJ has gone to great lengths to neither confirm nor deny that the Japanese central bank undertook two separate currency interventions on behalf of the Japanese Yen (JPY) last week, but market participants noted that BoJ market operation reporting wildly overshot estimates, with the BoJ overspending on miscellaneous financing operations by around nine billion Yen in the first half of last week.

The economic calendar remains relatively thin for the rest of the week, and USD/JPY traders will be looking ahead to a fresh round of inflation figures from the US next week, as well as Japan’s latest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth figures due early next Thursday.

USD/JPY technical outlook

USD/JPY has climbed back over the 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 155.04 in the mid-week market session, ticking into a fresh high near 155.70 and set for a run at the 156.00 handle. The pair has risen around 2.5% unimpeded from last week’s swing low below 152.00.

USD/JPY closed on a third consecutive trading day in the green on Wednesday, and despite possible “Yenterventions”, the pair found technical support from the 50-day EMA at 152.72 and continues to trade well into bull country. The pair is up over 10% for the year.

USD/JPY hourly chart

USD/JPY daily chart

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price155.48
Today Daily Change0.78
Today Daily Change %0.50
Today daily open154.7
 
Trends
Daily SMA20154.77
Daily SMA50152.08
Daily SMA100149.43
Daily SMA200148.54
 
Levels
Previous Daily High154.75
Previous Daily Low153.87
Previous Weekly High160.32
Previous Weekly Low151.86
Previous Monthly High160.32
Previous Monthly Low150.81
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%154.41
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%154.2
Daily Pivot Point S1154.12
Daily Pivot Point S2153.55
Daily Pivot Point S3153.24
Daily Pivot Point R1155.01
Daily Pivot Point R2155.32
Daily Pivot Point R3155.89

Author

Joshua Gibson

Joshua joins the FXStreet team as an Economics and Finance double major from Vancouver Island University with twelve years' experience as an independent trader focusing on technical analysis.

More from Joshua Gibson
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines below 1.1900; divergent Fed-ECB expectations offer support

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1835-1.1830 region and oscillates in a narrow band during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1875 area, remaining nearly unchanged for the day and staying within striking distance of an over one-week high, reached on Tuesday, amid mixed cues.

GBP/USD bullish outlook prevails above 1.3600, UK GDP data looms

The GBP/USD pair gains ground near 1.3635, snapping the two-day losing streak during the early European session on Thursday. The preliminary reading of UK Gross Domestic Product for the fourth quarter will be closely watched later on Thursday. The UK economy is estimated to grow 0.2% QoQ in Q4, versus 0.1% in Q1. 

Gold down but not out as focus shifts to more US data

Gold is back in the red near $5,050 early Thursday, having faced strong offers at around the $5,100 mark once again. Buyers keep a close eye on the mid-tier US Jobless Claims data and US-Iran geopolitical developments to regain control.

UK GDP set to post weak growth as markets rise bets on March rate cut

Markets will be watching closely on Thursday, when the United Kingdom’s Office for National Statistics will release the advance estimate of Q4 Gross Domestic Product. If the data land in line with consensus, the UK economy would have continued to grow at an annualised pace of 1.2%, compared with 1.3% recorded the previous year. 

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

XRP sell-off deepens amid weak retail interest, risk-off sentiment

Ripple (XRP) is edging lower around $1.36 at the time of writing on Wednesday, weighed down by low retail interest and macroeconomic uncertainty, which is accelerating risk-off sentiment.