|

USD/JPY faces some consolidation near term – UOB

In the opinion of UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang, USD/JPY is now seen navigating the 144.50-147.20 range.

Key Quotes

24-hour view:  Yesterday, we held the view that USD could rebound further. We were also of the view that “any advance is likely part of a higher trading range of 145.40/146.80, and a clear break above 146.80 is unlikely.” However, USD did not quite rebound as it traded between 146.00 and 146.51. The underlying tone appears to be firm. Today, USD is likely to edge higher, but it is unlikely to break the major resistance at 147.20 (146.80 remains a relatively strong resistance level). On the downside, if USD breaches 146.00, it would indicate that the current mild upward pressure has subsided. 

Next 1-3 weeks: Our latest narrative was from last Thursday (30 Aug, spot at 146.00). At that time, we were of the view that USD “is likely to trade in a range between 144.50 and 147.20.” On Friday, USD dropped briefly to 144.43, and then rebounded strongly. The price actions reinforce our view, and we continue to expect USD to trade in a range between 144.50 and 147.20.

Author

Pablo Piovano

Born and bred in Argentina, Pablo has been carrying on with his passion for FX markets and trading since his first college years.

More from Pablo Piovano
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1900 as USD recovers

EUR/USD trades in negative territory for the third consecutive day, below 1.1900 in the European session on Thursday. A modest rebound in the US Dollar is weighing on the pair, despite an upbeat market mood. Traders keep an eye on the US weekly Initial Jobless Claims data for further trading impetus. 

GBP/USD holds above 1.3600 after UK data dump

\GBP/USD moves little while holding above 1.3600 in the European session on Thursday, following the release of the UK Q4 preliminary GDP, which showed a 0.1% growth against a 0.2% increase expected. The UK industrial sector activity deteriorated in Decembert, keeping the downward pressure intact on the Pound Sterling. 

Gold sticks to modest intraday losses as reduced March Fed rate cut bets underpin USD

Gold languishes near the lower end of its daily range heading into the European session on Thursday. The precious metal, however, lacks follow-through selling amid mixed cues and currently trades above the $5,050 level, well within striking distance of a nearly two-week low touched the previous day.

Cardano eyes short-term rebound as derivatives sentiment improves

Cardano (ADA) is trading at $0.257 at the time of writing on Thursday, after slipping more than 4% so far this week. Derivatives sentiment improves as ADA’s funding rates turn positive alongside rising long bets among traders.

The market trades the path not the past

The payroll number did not just beat. It reset the tone. 130,000 vs. 65,000 expected, with a 35,000 whisper. 79 of 80 economists leaning the wrong way. Unemployment and underemployment are edging lower. For all the statistical fog around birth-death adjustments and seasonal quirks, the core message was unmistakable. The labour market is not cracking.

Sonic Labs’ vertical integration fuels recovery in S token

Sonic, previously Fantom (FTM), is extending its recovery trade at $0.048 at the time of writing, after rebounding by over 12% the previous day. The recovery thesis’ strengths lie in the optimism surrounding Sonic Labs’ Wednesday announcement to shift to a vertically integrated model, aimed at boosting S token utility.