- USD/JPY has witnessed selling interest at a 24-year high of around 145.00.
- Significant jump in US core CPI strengthened the odds of a third consecutive 75 bps rate hike by the Fed.
- The depreciating yen is attracting tourism and accelerating export numbers.
The USD/JPY pair has sensed selling pressure while attempting to surpass a 24-year high at 144.99 in the Tokyo session. After a juggernaut rally, the asset is displaying exhaustion signals and is expected to remain subdued ahead. On Tuesday, the major surged sharply from a low near 142.00 after the release of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported the headline inflation rate at 8.3%, higher than the estimated figure of 8.1%. As gasoline prices are falling and interest rates are soaring in the US economy, a meaningful decline was expected in the inflation rate. The headline CPI has slipped from the prior release of 8.5% but is not sufficient to trim the odds of a third consecutive 75 basis points (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
The catalyst which is responsible for a bumper rally in the US dollar index (DXY) is the increment in core CPI that excludes oil and food prices. The economic data landed at 6.3% higher than the forecasts of 6.1% and the prior release of 5.9%.
One could gauge the fact that headline CPI is light led by falling gasoline prices whereas price pressures in durable goods have increased significantly. This also indicates that signs of exhaustion in the inflation rate have faded away and the inflation saga is back to square.
This week, the major trigger will be US Retail Sales data, which is showing no improvement in the overall demand.
On the Tokyo front, the depreciating yen is creating prolonged hurdles for the Japanese economy. There is no denying the fact that a weaker yen is accelerating tourism and soaring exports but at the same time is demolishing the operating margins of those companies whose inputs are highly import-oriented. The impact of higher input costs on firms’ financial statements will be seen in the upcoming earnings season.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD holds gains near 0.6600 as RBA Governor Bullock speaks
AUD/USD clings to gains near 0.6600 early Tuesday. The Aussie fails to find any inspiration, as the RBA holds the key interest rate at 4.35%. Strong China's Caixin Services PMI data supports the Aussie amid a steady US Dollar and a tepid risk tone. RBA Governor Bullock's presser gets underway.
USD/JPY: Rebound remains capped below 152.50 amid cautious mood
USD/JPY consolidates the bounce below 152.50 in Asian trading on Tuesday, tracking the US Dollar price action. The pair's upside remains capped by strong Japanese PMI data and a cautious market mood. Traders remain wary as Americans head to polls this Tuesday.
Gold traders appear non-committal on the US election day
Gold price is miring in five-day lows near $2,730 in Asian trading on Tuesday, lacking a clear direction. Traders remain wary and refrain from placing fresh bets on Gold price on the US presidential election day.
Trump-inspired memecoin MAGA shows bullish on-chain metrics ahead of US elections
MAGA trades slightly down to around $3.4 on Tuesday after rallying more than 20% since Sunday. The former President Donald Trump-based memecoin is poised for further gains as daily active addresses and network growth metrics rise, signaling increased network usage and adoption.
US presidential election outcome: What could it mean for the US Dollar? Premium
The US Dollar has regained lost momentum against its six major rivals at the beginning of the final quarter of 2024, as tensions mount ahead of the highly anticipated United States Presidential election due on November 5.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.