|

USD/JPY: Expected to trade in a 149.20/150.55 range – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) is expected to trade in a 149.20/150.55 range vs Japanese Yen (JPY). In the longer run, USD is likely to decline further; the significant support at 148.63 may not come into view so soon, UOB Group’s FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.

USD is likely to decline further

24-HOUR VIEW: "When USD was at 151.30 yesterday, we noted 'an increase in momentum.' We highlighted that USD 'could drop below 151.00, but it remains to be seen if it can maintain a foothold below this level.' We added, 'the next support at 150.40 is unlikely to come under threat.' However, USD not only broke below 150.40 but also dropped further to 149.37.USD closed lower by a whopping 1.21% at 149.63. The outsized decline appears to be overdone, and USD is unlikely to decline much further. Today, we expect USD to trade in a 149.20/150.55 range."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "In our most recent narrative from Tuesday (18 Feb, spot at 151.45), we indicated that 'there has been a tentative buildup in downward momentum, but USD must break and remain below 151.00 before further weakness can be expected.' Yesterday, USD dropped decisively below 151.00 and staged a sharp and swift selloff that sent it to a low of 149.37. While USD is likely to decline further, short-term conditions are deeply oversold, and the significant support at 148.63 may not come into view so soon. The downside risk will remain intact as long as 151.80 (‘strong resistance’ level was at 152.30 yesterday) is not breached."

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

More from FXStreet Insights Team
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1750 as USD finds its feet

EUR/USD kicks off the new week on a softer note, holding below 1.1750 in European trading on Monday. The pair faces challenges due to a pause in the US Dollar downtrend, with traders shifting their focus to the delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI data for fresh directives. The ECB policy decision is also eagerly awaited. 

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3350 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD remains on the back foot above 1.3350 in the European session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the key 200-day SMA support. The US Dollar holds its recovery mode ahead of key data releases, while the Pound Sterling faces headwinds from the expected BoE rate cut this week. 

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.