|

USD/JPY drops to fresh daily low, closer to mid-134.00s post-US CPI

  • USD/JPY retreats sharply from a one-week high amid the emergence of fresh USD selling.
  • The softer headline US CPI print reaffirms dovish Fed expectations and weighs on the USD.
  • A positive risk tone could undermine the safe-haven JPY and help limit losses for the pair.

The USD/JPY pair attracts some sellers in the vicinity of mid-135.00s, or a one-week high touched this Wednesday, and the intraday descent picks up pace following the release of the US consumer inflation figures. Spot prices drop to a fresh daily low during the early North American session and currently trade just above the mid-134.00s, down over 0.50% for the day.

The US Dollar (USD) weakened across the board after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that inflation in the US, as measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 0.4% in April and the yearly rate eased to 4.9% from 5%. Meanwhile, the Core CPI, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, matched expectations, coming in at 0.4% and 5.5%, respectively, Nevertheless, the data reaffirms market bets for an imminent pause in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) year-long rate-hiking cycle, which weighs heavily on the Greenback and exerts downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair.

However, the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) dovish stance, along with a generally positive tone around the equity markets, could undermine the safe-haven Japanese Yen (JPY) and help limit losses for the USD/JPY pair. It is worth recalling that BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda,  speaking in parliament earlier today, said that it was too early to discuss specific plans for an exit from the massive stimulus programme. This, in turn, might hold back bearish traders from placing aggressive bets and act as a tailwind for spot prices, making it prudent to wait for strong follow-through selling before positioning for further losses.

Technical levels to watch

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price135.32
Today Daily Change0.13
Today Daily Change %0.10
Today daily open135.19
 
Trends
Daily SMA20134.56
Daily SMA50133.84
Daily SMA100132.85
Daily SMA200137.02
 
Levels
Previous Daily High135.36
Previous Daily Low134.72
Previous Weekly High137.78
Previous Weekly Low133.5
Previous Monthly High136.56
Previous Monthly Low130.63
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%135.12
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%134.97
Daily Pivot Point S1134.82
Daily Pivot Point S2134.45
Daily Pivot Point S3134.18
Daily Pivot Point R1135.46
Daily Pivot Point R2135.73
Daily Pivot Point R3136.1

Author

Haresh Menghani

Haresh Menghani is a detail-oriented professional with 10+ years of extensive experience in analysing the global financial markets.

More from Haresh Menghani
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD eases marginally, back to 1.1800

EUR/USD navigates a narrow range on Thursday, hovering around the 1.1800 neighbourhood in a context of humble gains in the US Dollar. The pair’s lacklustre performance come amid the unabated trade uncertainty, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the cautious tone from the ECB’s Lagarde.

GBP/USD holds above 1.3500, struggles to gain traction

GBP/USD rebound from session lows but stays below 1.3550 on Thursday. The cautious market stance helps the US Dollar stay resilient against its rivals and makes it difficult for the pair gather recovery momentum. Investors await headlines that will come out of the US-Iran nuclear talks.

Gold clings to small gains near $5,200 ahead of US-Iran talks

Gold trades marginally higher on the day above $5,150 on Thursday as investors refrain from taking large positions. The US and Iran will hold the next round of nuclear talks in Geneva on Thursday, outcome of which could have significant implications for risk perception.

Stellar: Relief bounce fades as bearish undertone persists

Stellar is trading around $0.16 at the time of writing on Thursday after rebounding more than 8% in the previous day. Derivatives data paints a negative picture as XLM’s short bets hit a monthly high while Open Interest continues to decline.

The one thing everyone is on the lookout for is US action of some sort against Iran

The FX market is minestrone soup these days. It is befuddled by conflicting data, rumors and small stories exaggerated out of proportion, and Trump-generated uncertainty. 

Solana strikes key resistance with double-digit gains

Solana trades at $88 at press time on Thursday, after an 11% upswing the previous day within a broader consolidation range of roughly three weeks. Institutional demand for Solana heightens as US spot SOL Exchange Traded Funds record $30 million of inflow on Wednesday.