|

USD/JPY advances to highest level since May near 109.50

  • 10-year US T-bond yield adds nearly 7% on Thursday.
  • The US reportedly confirms the phase-one trade deal will include tariff rollbacks.
  • US Dollar Index pushes higher above the 98 handle.

The USD/JPY started the day below the 109 handle on Thursday and spent the Asian session in a calm manner but rose sharply during the European trading hours after China's Commerce Ministry said that the United States and China have agreed to roll back tariffs.

Trade optimism weighs on safe-haven assets

With the risk-on flows continuing to dominate the market action during the American session, the pair preserved its bullish momentum and advanced to its highest level in more than five months at 109.48. As of writing, the pair was trading at 109.43, adding 0.4% on a daily basis.

Confirming the statement from China, citing a source familiar with talks, Bloomberg on Thursday reported that the US side recognized that the phase-one of the trade deal with China will include mutual reductions in import tariffs. Reflecting the strong risk appetite, the 10-year US Treasury bond yield surged to its highest level since early August and was last up 6.5% on the day. Additionally, Wall Street's three main indexes are flirting with all-time highs.

On the other hand, the selling pressure surrounding the EUR and the GBP on Thursday allows the USD to find demand and causes the bullish momentum to remain intact. 

Leading Economic Index and Coincident Index data will be released from Japan on Friday but the risk perception is likely to continue to impact the pair's movements. Wholesale Inventories and the University of Michigan's Consumer Confidence Index will be featured in the US economic docket. 

Technical levels to watch for

USD/JPY

Overview
Today last price109.43
Today Daily Change0.49
Today Daily Change %0.45
Today daily open108.94
 
Trends
Daily SMA20108.6
Daily SMA50107.86
Daily SMA100107.6
Daily SMA200109.03
 
Levels
Previous Daily High109.19
Previous Daily Low108.82
Previous Weekly High109.29
Previous Weekly Low107.89
Previous Monthly High109.29
Previous Monthly Low106.48
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%108.96
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%109.05
Daily Pivot Point S1108.78
Daily Pivot Point S2108.61
Daily Pivot Point S3108.4
Daily Pivot Point R1109.15
Daily Pivot Point R2109.36
Daily Pivot Point R3109.52

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

More from Eren Sengezer
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays below 1.1850 after dismal German sentiment data

EUR/USD stays in negative territory below 1.1850 in the second half of the day on Tuesday. Renewed US Dollar strength, combined with a softer risk tone keep the pair undermined alongside downbeat German ZEW sentiment readings for February. 

GBP/USD falls toward 1.3550, pressured by weak UK jobs report

GBP/USD remains under bearish pressure and extends its decline below 1.3600 on Tuesday. The United Kingdom employment data suggested worsening labor market conditions, bolstering bets for a BoE interest rate cut next month and making it difficult for Pound Sterling to stay resilient against its peers.

Gold recovers modestly, stays deep in red below $4,950

Gold (XAU/USD) stages a rebound but remains deep in negative territory below $4,950 after touching its weakest level in over a week near $4,850 earlier in the day. Renewed US Dollar strength makes it difficult for XAU/USD to gather recovery momentum despite the risk-averse market atmosphere.

Canada CPI expected to show sticky inflation in January, still above BoC’s target

Economists see the headline CPI rising by 2.4% in a year to January, still above the BoC’s target and matching December’s increase. On a monthly basis, prices are expected to rise by 0.1%.

UK jobs market weakens, bolstering rate cut hopes

In the UK, the latest jobs report made for difficult reading. Nonetheless, this represents yet another reminder for the Bank of England that they need to act swiftly given the collapse in inflation expected over the coming months. 

Stellar mixed sentiment caps recovery

Stellar price remains under pressure, trading at $0.170 on Tuesday after failing to close above the key resistance on Sunday. The derivatives metric supports the bearish sentiment, with XLM’s short bets rising among traders and funding rates turning negative.