USD/INR Price Analysis: 100-DMA probes Indian Rupee buyers at five-week low


  • USD/INR pares recent losses with mild gains around the key support, snaps five-day losing streak.
  • Nearly oversold RSI conditions add strength to recovery expectations.
  • Previous support line from early August, two-month-old horizontal resistance challenge bulls.
  • Lows marked during December, November can entertain bears ahead of 200-DMA.

USD/INR rebounds from the lowest levels since December, marked the previous day, as prints the first daily gains around 81.75 on early Wednesday.

In doing so, the Indian Rupee (INR) pair bounces off the 100-DMA as the RSI (14) conditions favor short-covering moves.

However, the USD/INR pair buyers need to stay in the driver’s seat beyond crossing the previous support line from August, close to 81.75 at the latest, for conviction.

Even so, a horizontal resistance area comprising multiple levels marked since October 2022, around 82.10-05, could challenge the USD/INR upside.

It’s worth noting that 82.40 appears the last defense of the USD/INR bears, a break of which could quickly propel the quote towards the 83.00 round figure before highlighting the monthly high surrounding 83.10 for the buyers to trace.

Meanwhile, a daily closing below the 100-DMA level of 81.70 could help the USD/INR sellers to keep the reins.

In that case, the lows marked during December and November of 2022, around 81.00 and 80.37 in that order, could gain the bear’s attention.

Following that, the 200-DMA level surrounding 80.15 and the 80.00 psychological magnet could challenge the USD/INR bears afterward.

USD/INR: Daily chart

Trend: Limited upside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 81.674
Today Daily Change 0.0455
Today Daily Change % 0.06%
Today daily open 81.6285
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 82.6311
Daily SMA50 82.089
Daily SMA100 81.6073
Daily SMA200 79.867
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 82.5294
Previous Daily Low 81.5905
Previous Weekly High 83.072
Previous Weekly Low 82.1896
Previous Monthly High 84.25
Previous Monthly Low 80.9855
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 81.9492
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 82.1708
Daily Pivot Point S1 81.3029
Daily Pivot Point S2 80.9772
Daily Pivot Point S3 80.3639
Daily Pivot Point R1 82.2418
Daily Pivot Point R2 82.8551
Daily Pivot Point R3 83.1807

 

 

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