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USD/CNH Price Analysis: This indicator favors range breakout

  • USD/CNH is trapped in a narrow range on the daily chart. 
  • The MACD histogram suggests scope for a range breakout. 

USD/CNH's daily chart MACD histogram, an indicator used to identify trend changes and trend strength, has crossed above zero, confirming a bullish reversal. 

The indicator's bullish turn suggests the pair could soon breach the two-week-long trading range of 7.04 to 7.0974 to the higher side. The range breakout, if confirmed, would create room for a rally to 7.1548 (target as per the measured move method). 

However, the 14-day relative strength index (RSI) is still hovering in bearish territory below 50.00. Also, the MACD histogram is based on moving averages (backward-looking indicators) and often lags prices and traps traders on the wrong side of the market. 

The outlook would turn bearish if the range play ends with acceptance under 7.04. At press time, the pair is trading at 7.078, representing marginal losses on the day. The immediate bias would remain neutral as long as the pair stuck inside the trading range of 7.04 to 7.0974.

Daily chart

Trend: Neutral

Technical levels

USD/CNH

Overview
Today last price7.078
Today Daily Change-0.0034
Today Daily Change %-0.05
Today daily open7.0814
 
Trends
Daily SMA207.0844
Daily SMA507.1025
Daily SMA1007.0689
Daily SMA2007.0445
 
Levels
Previous Daily High7.0894
Previous Daily Low7.0754
Previous Weekly High7.0974
Previous Weekly Low7.0598
Previous Monthly High7.1964
Previous Monthly Low7.0774
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%7.0841
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%7.0808
Daily Pivot Point S17.0748
Daily Pivot Point S27.0681
Daily Pivot Point S37.0608
Daily Pivot Point R17.0888
Daily Pivot Point R27.0961
Daily Pivot Point R37.1028

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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