|

USD/CNH Price Analysis: Pullback remains elusive beyond 6.9450 support confluence

  • USD/CNH consolidates the biggest daily gains in a month at one-week high.
  • Bearish MACD signals keep sellers hopeful but 200/100 HMAs challenge further downside.
  • Bulls need validation from the monthly high, the 7.0000 threshold.

USD/CNH retreats to 6.9700 during Wednesday’s Asian session, after rising the most in a month to refresh the weekly the previous day.

In doing so, the offshore Chinese yuan (CNH) pair justifies the bearish MACD signals, as well as the RSI (14) pullback from the overbought territory.

However, a convergence of the 100-HMA and the 200-HMA around 6.9450 appears a tough nut to crack for the USD/CNH bears.

Should the quote drops below 6.9450, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the pair’s September 01-07 upside, near 6.9100 can’t be ruled out. However, the monthly low near 6.8870 could challenge the pair sellers afterward.

Alternatively, recovery moves need to cross the latest swing high surrounding 6.9850 to convince intraday buyers.

Following that, the monthly high near 6.9970 and the 7.0000 psychological magnet will be crucial to challenge the USD/CNH bulls.

In a case where the pair remains firmer past 7.0000, the late July 2020 high near 7.0300 will be in focus.

To sum up, USD/CNH is likely to witness further downside but the overall trend remains bullish.

USD/CNH: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price6.9706
Today Daily Change-0.0116
Today Daily Change %-0.17%
Today daily open6.9822
 
Trends
Daily SMA206.9011
Daily SMA506.8111
Daily SMA1006.7576
Daily SMA2006.5635
 
Levels
Previous Daily High6.9846
Previous Daily Low6.911
Previous Weekly High6.997
Previous Weekly Low6.9176
Previous Monthly High6.9326
Previous Monthly Low6.7164
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%6.9565
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%6.9392
Daily Pivot Point S16.934
Daily Pivot Point S26.8857
Daily Pivot Point S36.8604
Daily Pivot Point R17.0076
Daily Pivot Point R27.0329
Daily Pivot Point R37.0812

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold pulls away from session high, holds above $4,300

Gold loses its bullish momentum and retreats below $4,350 after testing this level earlier on Monday. XAU/USD, however, stays in positive territory as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.