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USD/CNH Price Analysis: Extends pullback from weekly resistance below 7.3200 even as China data disappoints

  • USD/CNH renews intraday low, stays defensive after reversing from short-term key resistance line.
  • China’s Caixin Services PMI dropped to five-month low.
  • Key HMAs, RSI conditions suggest a bumpy road for the bears.

USD/CNH ticks down to refresh intraday low near 7.3160 after China reported downbeat services activity data during early Thursday.

In doing so, the offshore Chinese currency (CNH) pair consolidates the Fed-inspired gains but struggles to extend the late Wednesday’s pullback from a one-week-old descending resistance line.

That said, China’s Caixin/S&P Global Services PMI for October dropped to the lowest level in five months while flashing 48.4 figure versus 49.3 prior.

Despite the quote’s latest inaction, the bearish MACD signals and the U-turn from a short-term key resistance line direct USD/CNH sellers toward the 50-HMA and 100-HMA support levels, respectively near 7.3050 and 7.2980.

However, an upward-sloping support line from Friday, near 7.2840, joins the ascending support line on RSI (14) to challenge the pair bears afterward.

Alternatively, recovery moves need to cross the aforementioned resistance line, close to 7.3485, to convince USD/CNH buyers.

Following that, a run-up towards the all-time high marked in October around 7.3750 can’t be ruled out.

To sum up, USD/CNH justifies short-term bearish technical signals despite weaker fundamentals to support sellers. Though, the downside room appears limited.

USD/CNH: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price7.3186
Today Daily Change-0.0250
Today Daily Change %-0.34%
Today daily open7.3436
 
Trends
Daily SMA207.2321
Daily SMA507.0984
Daily SMA1006.9225
Daily SMA2006.707
 
Levels
Previous Daily High7.3486
Previous Daily Low7.2608
Previous Weekly High7.3748
Previous Weekly Low7.1658
Previous Monthly High7.3748
Previous Monthly Low7.0126
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%7.315
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%7.2944
Daily Pivot Point S17.2868
Daily Pivot Point S27.23
Daily Pivot Point S37.1991
Daily Pivot Point R17.3745
Daily Pivot Point R27.4054
Daily Pivot Point R37.4622

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

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