USD/CNH: Bulls and bears jostle above $6.4500 on China’s return amid brighter mood, upbeat data


  • USD/CNH bounces off intraday low, stays sidelined for the second consecutive second day.
  • China Caixin Services PMI, US debt ceiling extension favor risk appetite.
  • Firmer sentiment weighs on USD ahead of US NFP.

USD/CNH remains depressed around 6.4520, down 0.05% on a day amid traders’ indecision during early Friday.

China’s return after a week, backed by the People’s Bank of China’s (PBOC) readiness to keep the markets liquid favor the offshore Chinese Yuan (CNH) buyers. Also positive for the CNH is the Caixin Services PMI for September, 53.4 versus 50.7 expected and 46.7 prior.

Additionally, the market’s upbeat sentiment, backed by the US Congress’ passage of the bill favoring the debt ceiling extension by $408 billion until early December 2021, also challenges USD/CNH bulls. On the same line were the recent headlines suggesting the receding tension between the US and China.

On the contrary, the pre-NFP anxiety and firmer US Treasury yields, near the four-month high, underpin USD/CNH advances. Additionally, the firming of the Fed tapering woes, amid stronger early signals for the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), up for publishing today, also favor the pair buyers. Furthermore, suspension of Fantasia bonds from trading challenges the market optimism.

Amid these plays, the US Dollar Index (DXY) picks up bids tracking the US 10-year Treasury yields, up 1.8 basis points to 1.59% by the press time. Further, Wall Street marked another positive day by the end of Thursday and S&P 500 Futures follow suit at the latest.

As USD/CNH traders struggle for clear direction, the US jobs report will be important to watch. Also, developments concerning the Sino-American ties and Fed tapering woes shouldn’t be missed as well.

Read: US Nonfarm Payrolls September Preview: How far will markets go when the Fed tapers?

Technical analysis

Multiple failures to cross the 100-DMA on a daily closing basis, around 6.4550 by the press time, keep USD/CNH bears directed towards a three-week-old support line near 6.4365.

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 6.4516
Today Daily Change -0.0014
Today Daily Change % -0.02%
Today daily open 6.453
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 6.4562
Daily SMA50 6.4645
Daily SMA100 6.4544
Daily SMA200 6.4693
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 6.4572
Previous Daily Low 6.4478
Previous Weekly High 6.4798
Previous Weekly Low 6.4284
Previous Monthly High 6.488
Previous Monthly Low 6.4244
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 6.4514
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 6.4537
Daily Pivot Point S1 6.4482
Daily Pivot Point S2 6.4433
Daily Pivot Point S3 6.4388
Daily Pivot Point R1 6.4576
Daily Pivot Point R2 6.4621
Daily Pivot Point R3 6.467

 

 

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