- USD/CHF surges to near 0.8930 amid uncertainty over SNB’s policy decision.
- The SNB worries about price pressures reaccelerating due to the weak Swiss Franc.
- USD/CHF tests the breakdown region of the H&S pattern.
The USD/CHF pair recovers strongly from the round-level support of 0.8900 and jumps to near 0.8930 in Monday’s early New York session. The Swiss Franc asset strengthens as US Dollar (USD) clings to gains and the uncertainty over the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) policy outcome.
Market sentiment appears to be cautious as Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers continue to support only one rate cut this year as they want to see signs of disinflation for months. Contrary to that, the CME FedWatch tool shows the possibility of two rate cuts, which has been prompted by a higher-than-expected decline in the consumer and producer inflation readings for May.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) holds gains near 105.50. 10-year US Treasury yields soar to 4.27%.
Meanwhile, the Swiss Franc declines ahead of the SNB’s policy’s decision on Thursday. Investors see a close call this time as policymakers remain concerned over the inflation outlook. Weak Swiss Franc have made exports competitive and a sharp rise in import costs have deepened fears of price pressures reaccelerating again. However, year-on-year Swiss inflation has remained comfortably below the 2% threshold since June 2023.
USD/CHF declines after facing selling pressure near the neckline of the Head and Shoulder (H&S) chart pattern formed on a four-hour timeframe. A breakdown of the H&S chart formation results in a bearish reversal. The asset has established below the 200-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) near 0.9015, which indicates that the overall trend is bearish.
The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers near 40.00. A decisive break below the same would trigger a bearish momentum.
Going forward, more recovery above the psychological resistance of 0.9000 will drive the asset towards June 3 high at 0.9036, followed by May 28 low at 0.9086.
On the flip side, room for more downside towards March 21 low at 0.8840 and the round-level support of 0.8800 will open if the asset breaks below June 4 low of 0.8900.
USD/CHF four-hour chart
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
Australian Dollar softens despite weak USD, eyes on inflation data
The AUD/USD declined by 0.14% to 0.6495 in Monday's session, driven by selling pressure near the intraday high of 0.6550. Despite the US Dollar's weakness, the Australian Dollar's performance suggests its own underlying weakness.
EUR/USD scrambles to recover lost ground near 1.05
EUR/USD scrambled for higher ground on Monday, clipping back into the 1.0500 handle amid a broad-market relaxing of Greenback bidding as investors step back into a risk-on mood, albeit with limited impact.
Gold turns bearish and could test $2,600
After recovering toward $2,700 during the European trading hours, Gold reversed its direction and dropped below $2,650. Despite falling US Treasury bond yields, easing geopolitical tensions don't allow XAU/USD to find a foothold.
MicroStrategy set to push Bitcoin to new highs after 55,500 BTC acquisition, should investors be concerned?
MicroStrategy revealed on Monday that it made another heavy Bitcoin purchase, acquiring 55,500 BTC for $5.4 billion at an average rate of $97,862 per coin.
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more
The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.