|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Rising wedge teases bears, 0.9985 is the key

  • USD/CHF remains pressured inside a bearish chart pattern.
  • Sustained trading below 50-HMA, downside break of weekly support line also favor sellers.
  • Buyers need validation from 1.0075 to refresh multi-month high.

USD/CHF holds lower grounds near the parity levels, fading the week-start bounce off 0.9944 inside a rising wedge bearish formation during Tuesday’s Asian session.

In doing so, the Swiss currency pair also extends the previous day’s pullback from the 50-HMA hurdle while keeping Friday’s downside break of a one-week-old ascending support line, now resistance around 1.0085.

Additionally favoring the USD/CHF sellers is the receding bullish bias of the MACD line, as well as the recent lower-high formation.

It should, however, be noted that a clear downside break of the 0.9985 support appears necessary to confirm the rising wedge pattern.

Following that, the recent swing low of around 0.9945 and the previous weekly bottom near 0.9920 could test the USD/CHF bears during the theoretical fall towards 0.9890.

Alternatively, the 50-HMA level surrounding 1.0025 acts as an immediate hurdle to watch during the pair’s fresh recovery, a break of which should question the bearish wedge’s resistance line, close to 1.0040 at the latest.

In a case where USD/CHF rises past 1.0040, the bearish formation gets defied.

However, a broad horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since October 13, between 1.0066 and 1.0075 will precede the support-turned-resistance line, near 1.0085, to challenge the USD/CHF bulls afterward.

USD/CHF: Hourly chart

Trend: Further weakness expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.9999
Today Daily Change0.0027
Today Daily Change %0.27%
Today daily open0.9972
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.993
Daily SMA500.9772
Daily SMA1000.9719
Daily SMA2000.9571
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.0148
Previous Daily Low0.9962
Previous Weekly High1.0148
Previous Weekly Low0.9919
Previous Monthly High0.9966
Previous Monthly Low0.948
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.0033
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.0077
Daily Pivot Point S10.9907
Daily Pivot Point S20.9841
Daily Pivot Point S30.9721
Daily Pivot Point R11.0093
Daily Pivot Point R21.0213
Daily Pivot Point R31.0278

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD shifts its attention to 1.1900 and above

EUR/USD has shaken off Tuesday’s dip, pushing back beyond the 1.1800 mark amid decent gains as  Wednesday’s session draws to a close. The rebound is largely driven by a modest pullback in the US Dollar, as markets digest the aftermath of President Trump’s SOTU speech and continue to monitor trade-related headlines and signals from the White House.
 

GBP/USD bounces as soft CPI boosts BoE cut bets

GBP/USD rose 0.42% on Wednesday, recovering toward 1.3600 in a session shaped by softer-than-expected UK inflation data and broad US Dollar weakness. The pair had been consolidating in a tight range between about 1.3450 and 1.3520 for the past few days following the sharp pullback from the late-January high near 1.3870, and Wednesday's move pushed price action back onto the high side of key moving averages.

Gold retains positive bias amid sustained safe-haven demand, softer USD

Gold attracts some buyers for the second straight day as trade jitters and geopolitical tensions ahead of the US-Iran nuclear talks underpin demand for safe-haven assets. Apart from this, a softer US Dollar further supports the bullion, though the underlying bullish sentiment could cap gains. Bulls might also opt to wait for acceptance above the $5,200 mark before positioning for any meaningful appreciating move.

UK financial watchdog advances stablecoin oversight as four firms pilot issuance

The Financial Conduct Authority in the United Kingdom is advancing toward the final stablecoin regulatory framework with a pilot program involving four companies, including Monee, Financial Technologies ReStabilise, Revolut and VVTX.

Nvidia delivers another monster earnings report, and forecasts big things to come

It was another monster earnings report from Nvidia for fiscal Q4. Revenues were $68.1bn, smashing estimates of $65bn. Gross profit margin was a healthy 75%, up from 73.5% in the prior quarter, and the outlook for this quarter was monstrous.

Cosmos Hub Price Forecast: ATOM rebounds slightly, bearish outlook remains intact

Cosmos Hub (ATOM) price rebounds, trading above $2.05 at the time of writing on Wednesday, after undergoing a sharp correction since last week. Weakening on-chain and derivatives data support a bearish outlook, while technical analysis remains unfavorable.