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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Retreats to a two-day low, after facing the 0.8700 barrier

  • The USD/CHF downtrend remains intact, with a path of least resistance downwards as long as it remains below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level at 0.8819.
  • Sellers might extend their drive and test the year-to-date (YTD) low of 0.8554 if the pair crosses the 0.8600 mark.
  • From an oscillator perspective, the downward aiming Relative Strength Index (RSI) and sellers' influence suggested by the three-day Rate of Change (RoC) align with the bearish bias.

USD/CHF retreats after reaching a daily high of 0.8700 and drops to a new two-day low amid a risk-on mood ahead of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) monetary policy decision. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF exchanges hands at 0.8640, down 0.59%.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

The USD/CHF downtrend remains intact as long as the exchange rate stays below the May 4 daily low of 0.8819, confluence with the 61.8% Fibonacci (Fibo) retracement. Once that level is broken, the next resistance will emerge at the next confluence of the 50-day EMA and the 78.6% Fibo level at the 0.8875/0.8900 area, followed by the 0.9000 mark.

Nonetheless, the USD/CHF path of least resistance is downwards, as it resumed its fall to a fresh two-day low, past the 23.6% Fibo retracement at 0.8659. The following support emerges at the 0.8600 figure, and if sellers gather momentum, it could extend and test the year-to-date (YTD) low of 0.8554.

From an oscillator standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) aimed downward as the USD/CHF downtrend resumed, while the three-day Rate of Change (RoC) portrays sellers' entering the market.

USD/CHF Price Action – Daily chart

USD/CHF Daily chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8644
Today Daily Change-0.0053
Today Daily Change %-0.61
Today daily open0.8697
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8797
Daily SMA500.8929
Daily SMA1000.8996
Daily SMA2000.9212
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.87
Previous Daily Low0.8638
Previous Weekly High0.8684
Previous Weekly Low0.8555
Previous Monthly High0.912
Previous Monthly Low0.8902
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8676
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8661
Daily Pivot Point S10.8656
Daily Pivot Point S20.8616
Daily Pivot Point S30.8594
Daily Pivot Point R10.8719
Daily Pivot Point R20.8741
Daily Pivot Point R30.8781

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Christian Borjon began his career as a retail trader in 2010, mainly focused on technical analysis and strategies around it. He started as a swing trader, as he used to work in another industry unrelated to the financial markets.

More from Christian Borjon Valencia
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