|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Prods 200-HMA amid oversold RSI as US NFP looms

  • USD/CHF remains depressed, poking the key support, ahead of the key US employment report for May.
  • 200-HMA, oversold RSI restrict immediate downside of Swiss Franc pair.
  • Multiple hurdles, Fed concerns prod buyers amid sluggish session.

USD/CHF holds lower ground near 0.9050 during early Friday, after positing the biggest daily loss in two weeks, as the key technical catalysts challenge sellers. Apart from that, the market’s positioning for the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), especially amid the latest reduction in the hawkish Fed bets, also challenges the pair sellers.

That said, the 200-Hour Moving Average (HMA) level of around 0.9050 joins the oversold RSI (14) conditions to restrict the immediate downside of the USD/CHF pair.

Even if the Swiss Franc buyers manage to conquer the key HMA, an upward-sloping support line from May 22, close to 0.9045, will act as an extra filter towards the south.

In a case where the USD/CHF bears manage to smash the 0.9045 support, a downward trajectory towards the late May bottom of near 0.9020 and then to the 0.9000 round figure can’t be ruled out, ahead of highlighting the previous monthly low of 0.8820 for sellers.

On the contrary, USD/CHF recovery needs validation from the 100-HMA level of 0.9068, as well as the US NFP, to recall the buyers.

Even so, the previous resistance line stretched from May 18, close to 0.9080, as well as 0.9100 may prod the bulls before giving them control.

In that case, the monthly high of around 0.9150, marked on Wednesday, should gain the market’s attention.

USD/CHF: Hourly chart

Trend: Corrective bounce expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.9054
Today Daily Change-0.0001
Today Daily Change %-0.01%
Today daily open0.9055
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8995
Daily SMA500.9003
Daily SMA1000.9129
Daily SMA2000.9379
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9114
Previous Daily Low0.9054
Previous Weekly High0.9075
Previous Weekly Low0.8941
Previous Monthly High0.9148
Previous Monthly Low0.882
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9077
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9091
Daily Pivot Point S10.9034
Daily Pivot Point S20.9014
Daily Pivot Point S30.8974
Daily Pivot Point R10.9095
Daily Pivot Point R20.9134
Daily Pivot Point R30.9155

Author

Anil Panchal

Anil Panchal

FXStreet

Anil Panchal has nearly 15 years of experience in tracking financial markets. With a keen interest in macroeconomics, Anil aptly tracks global news/updates and stays well-informed about the global financial moves and their implications.

More from Anil Panchal
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold regains traction toward $4,350 in the final full week of 2025

Gold price picks up bids once again toward $4,350 in Asian trading on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.