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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Minor bounce likely on indicator divergence

  • USD/CHF's hourly chart shows a bullish RSI divergence. 
  • The overall bias remains bearish with the pair holding well below 0.9762.

While the path of least resistance for the USD/CHF pair is to the downside, a break lower toward 0.96 could be preceded by a minor bounce, as the hourly chart indicator is reporting a bullish divergence of the relative strength index (RSI). 

A bullish divergence occurs when a lower low on the price chart is accompanied by a higher low on the indicator. 

The divergence seen on the hourly chart indicates scope for a bounce to the descending trendline resistance at 0.9688. A violation there could bring additional gains above 0.97. 

A rejection at the trendline hurdle will yield a sustained move below Tuesday's low of 0.9665.

The overall bias will remain bearish as long as the spot remains below 0.9762, keeping lower highs setup on the daily chart intact. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Minor bounce likely

Technical levels  

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9671
Today Daily Change-0.0002
Today Daily Change %-0.02
Today daily open0.9673
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9742
Daily SMA500.9841
Daily SMA1000.9878
Daily SMA2000.9914
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9715
Previous Daily Low0.9665
Previous Weekly High0.9763
Previous Weekly Low0.9665
Previous Monthly High1.0009
Previous Monthly Low0.9646
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9684
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9696
Daily Pivot Point S10.9654
Daily Pivot Point S20.9634
Daily Pivot Point S30.9604
Daily Pivot Point R10.9704
Daily Pivot Point R20.9734
Daily Pivot Point R30.9754

Author

Omkar Godbole

Omkar Godbole

FXStreet Contributor

Omkar Godbole, editor and analyst, joined FXStreet after four years as a research analyst at several Indian brokerage companies.

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