- The USD/CHF could shift to a neutral bias if it reclaims the May 4 daily low of 0.8819, which converges with the 61.8% Fibonacci (Fibo) retracement level.
- Resistance beyond this point lies at the confluence of the 50-day EMA and the 78.6% Fibo level at 0.8875/0.8900, followed by the 0.9000 mark.
- USD/CHF's path of least resistance remains downward, with the 23.6% Fibo retracement at 0.8659 marking the level to beat for sellers.
USD/CHF rebounds from last Friday's lows of 0.8640 and climbs on a strong US Dollar (USD) amid a risk-on impulse as Wall Street prints solid gains. The USD/CHF is trading at 0.8683, gains 0.31%, after hitting low of 0.8637.
USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook
The USD/CHF is yet to turn neutral, even though it recovered some ground during the last three trading days, with the pair gaining 1.50%. Should be said, the USD/CHF could shift its bias to neutral if it reclaims the May 4 daily low of 0.8819, confluence with the 61.8% Fibonacci (Fibo) retracement.
If that ceiling level is broken, the next resistance would emerge at the next confluence of the 50-day EMA and the 78.6% Fibo level at 0.8875/0.8900 area, followed by the 0.9000 mark.
Nevertheless, the USD/CHF path of least resistance is downwards and will resume its downtrend once sellers drag prices below the 23.6% Fibo retracement at 0.8659. On further weakness, the USD/CHF could extend its losses past the 0.8600 figure, followed by the year-to-date (YTD) Low of 0.8554.
From an oscillator standpoint, the Relative Strength Index (RSI), aiming upwards, suggests the USD/CHF upward correction could continue, but as it remains in bearish territory, once turning flat, could pave the way for a reversal. Contrarily, the three-day Rate of Change (RoC) portrays buyers entering the market. That said, mixed signals could refrain USD/CHF traders from opening fresh positions ahead of the FOMC’s meeting.
USD/CHF Price Action – Daily chart
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
AUD/USD clings to recovery gains above 0.6200, focus shifts to US ISM PMI
AUD/USD sustains the recovery from two-year troughs, holding above 0.6200 in Friday's Asian trading. The pair finds footing amid a pause in the US Dollar advance but the upside appears elusive as markets turn cautious amid China concerns and ahead of US ISM PMI data.
USD/JPY eases toward 157.00 as risk sentiment sours
USD/JPY is extending pullback from multi-month high of 158.07 set on Thursday. The pair drops toward 157.00 in the Asian session on Friday, courtesy of the negative shift in risk sentiment. Markets remain concerned about China's econmic health and the upcoming policies by the Fed and the BoJ.
Gold price appreciates amid Biden's discussions about potential strikes on Iran
Gold price edges higher for the fourth consecutive session on Friday, building on a stellar performance in 2024 with gains exceeding 27%, the metal’s best annual return since 2010. This sustained rally is attributed to strong safe-haven demand amid persistent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Could XRP surge to new highs in January 2025? First two days of trading suggest an upside bias
Ripple's XRP is up 7% on Thursday, extending its rally that began during the New Year's Day celebration. If long-term holders continue their recent accumulation, XRP could overcome the $2.9 resistance level and aim for a new all-time high.
Three Fundamentals: Year-end flows, Jobless Claims and ISM Manufacturing PMI stand out Premium
Money managers may adjust their portfolios ahead of the year-end. Weekly US Jobless Claims serve as the first meaningful release in 2025. The ISM Manufacturing PMI provides an initial indication ahead of Nonfarm Payrolls.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.