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USD/CHF Price Analysis. Eyes breakout amid Fed tightening speculations

  • USD/CHF rebounds and trades with minor losses of 0.02%, rallying from two-day lows amid Federal Reserve tightening speculations.
  • The USD/CHF remains neutral, testing a downslope resistance trendline, but key oscillators hint at an impending bullish turn.
  • If USD/CHF reclaims 0.9000, resistance emerges at the 50-day EMA, with supports at the June 28 low and the YTD low.

As the Asian session began, the USD/CHF traded with minuscule losses of 0.02%; following Wednesday’s session, the USD/CHF pair rallied from two-day lows of 0.8922 and rose toward a daily high of 0.8687. Speculations of further tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed) spurred a leg-up in the USD/CHF. At the time of writing, the USD/CHF exchanges hands at 0.8966.

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Technical outlook

From a medium-term perspective, the USD/CHF is neutral biased but testing a downslope resistance trendline at around the 0.8970/90 area. Oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), although in bearish territory, is about to turn bullish as it closes to the 50-midline. Meanwhile, the three-day Rate of Change (RoC) suggests buyers are gathering momentum, despite lacking the strength to pierce the 0.9000 mark.

If USD/CHF reclaims the 0.9000 figure, immediate resistance will emerge from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.9008. above that price level lies a downslope resistance trendline drawn in late May, which passes around 0.9030/40 before the USD/CHF can rally toward the 100-day EMA at 0.9082.

Conversely, the USD/CHF first support would be the June 28 daily low at 0.8922, followed by the 0.8900 figure, ahead of challenging the year-to-date (YTD) low of 0.8819.

USD/CHF Price Action – Daily chart

USD/CHF Daily chart

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.8967
Today Daily Change0.0031
Today Daily Change %0.35
Today daily open0.8936
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9011
Daily SMA500.8979
Daily SMA1000.9092
Daily SMA2000.9316
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.897
Previous Daily Low0.8924
Previous Weekly High0.9013
Previous Weekly Low0.8907
Previous Monthly High0.9148
Previous Monthly Low0.882
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.8942
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.8953
Daily Pivot Point S10.8917
Daily Pivot Point S20.8897
Daily Pivot Point S30.887
Daily Pivot Point R10.8963
Daily Pivot Point R20.899
Daily Pivot Point R30.901

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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