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USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bounces off weekly-lows reclaims 0.9100

  • The USD/CHF fall ended after three consecutive days amid a risk-off market mood.
  • The rise of the 10-year US Treasury yield underpins the greenback.
  • USD/CHF is neutral biased, but a bullish-engulfing candle pattern may open the door for an upside move; otherwise, it could challenge August 2021 monthly lows.

The USD/CHF snaps three straight days of losses, edges higher during the New York session, trading at 0.9139 at press time. A risk-off market mood, increased demand for safe-haven assets, usually benefits the CHF and the JPY, but not on Friday, with the USD recovering from earlier week losses.

The USD Dollar Index, a gauge of the greenback’s performance against six other currencies, advances som 0.29%, up to 95.96, underpinned by the 10-year benchmark note, which is rising 3.4 basis points, sitting at 1.754%.

USD/CHF Price Forecast: Technical outlook

The USD/CHF daily chart depicts the consolidation of the pair inside an ascending channel; even though it was “pierced” on the bottom trendline, USD bears have not achieved a daily close under 0.9080.

If USD/CHF Friday’s daily close engulf Thursday’s candlestick price action, an upward move may be on the cards. In that outcome, the first resistance would be the 200-day moving average (DMA) previously broke at 0.9167. An aforementioned break would expose the confluence of th3 50 and the 100-DMA in the 0.9210-12 range, which once gave way to USD bulls, would send the pair rallying towards December 15, 2021 daily high at 0.9294.

Contrarily, failure of the abovementioned scenario would keep the USD/CHF neutral-downward biased. The USD/CHF first line of defense would be 0.9100. A breach of the latter would exert further downside pressure on the pair, exposing crucial support levels. The next one would be November 2, 2021, daily low at 0..9084, followed by August 4, 2021, cycle low at 0.9018.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9139
Today Daily Change0.0025
Today Daily Change %0.27
Today daily open0.9114
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9185
Daily SMA500.9214
Daily SMA1000.9215
Daily SMA2000.9166
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9149
Previous Daily Low0.9092
Previous Weekly High0.9232
Previous Weekly Low0.9113
Previous Monthly High0.9295
Previous Monthly Low0.9102
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9114
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9127
Daily Pivot Point S10.9088
Daily Pivot Point S20.9061
Daily Pivot Point S30.9031
Daily Pivot Point R10.9144
Daily Pivot Point R20.9175
Daily Pivot Point R30.9201

Author

Christian Borjon Valencia

Markets analyst, news editor, and trading instructor with over 14 years of experience across FX, commodities, US equity indices, and global macro markets.

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