|

USD/CHF Price Analysis: Bears are lurking at neck line resistance

  • USD/CHF bulls are tiring at a key resistance level.
  • USD/CHF meets a 50% mean reversion level with 0.9050 now in focus. 

USD/CHF is down 0.35% after the Swiss National Bank moved forward with a 50bps increase in borrowing costs as expected last week, citing a renewed rise in inflationary pressure and discarding the recent turmoil in the banking sector and the Credit Suisse takeover.

The SNB noted that measures announced by the federal government, FINMA, and the SNB had put a halt to the crisis and reiterated it was providing large amounts of liquidity assistance in Swiss francs and foreign currencies, backed by collateral and subject to interest.

Meanwhile, inflation in Switzerland unexpectedly climbed to 3.4% in February, overshooting market expectations of 3.1% and SNB forecasts of 3%.

Technically, the price is capped by a 50% mean reversion as the following illustrates:

USD/CHF daily chart

The M-formation is a reversion pattern and the neckline is currently holding. 

With resistance at a 50% mean reversion level, the bias is to the downside with 0.9050 in focus. 

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

More from Ross J Burland
Share:

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flat lines near 1.1800 as traders brace for US PPI release

The EUR/USD pair trades on a flat note near 1.1800 during the early Asian session on Friday. The pair steadies as softer Eurozone inflation offsets US tariff uncertainties. Traders await the preliminary reading of the Consumer Price Index from Germany on Friday for more clues about the pace of future policy easing. On the US front, the Producer Price Index report will be released. 

GBP/USD threatens the 200-day SMA near 1.3440

GBP/USD rapidly leaves behind Wednesday’s strong advance, coming under heavy pressure and retesting the 1.3440 zone, where the critical 200-day SMA is located. Cable’s deep pullback follows the strong gains in the Greenback, while investors continue to pencil in a potential BoE rate cut in March.

Gold remains below $5,200 despite tariff jitters and geopolitical risks

Gold is seen consolidating in a range below the $5,200 mark during the Asian session on Friday amid mixed cues. Trade jitters, along with the risk of a potential US-Iran war, act as a tailwind for the safe-haven bullion. Meanwhile, the Fed's hawkish outlook keeps the US Dollar close to the monthly high and caps the non-yielding yellow metal. Nevertheless, the commodity remains on track to register gains for the fourth straight week, though the fundamental backdrop warrants some caution for bullish traders.

Top Crypto Gainers: Stable and Decred rally, Pippin approaches record highs

Altcoins, such as Stable, Decred, and Pippin, are extending gains so far this week, defying the risk-averse conditions in the broader cryptocurrency market. Stable and Pippin are near record high levels, while Decred extends its breakout rally above $30.

Changing the game: International implications of recent tariff developments

The Supreme Court ruling on International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs provides limited relief for the rest of the world, with weighted average tariff rates modestly lower.

Bitcoin steadies as traders eye US–Iran talks

Bitcoin (BTC) price is stabilizing around $68,000 at the time of writing on Thursday after a 6.2% relief rally the previous day amid a broader downward trend.