|

USD/CHF follows the downward path near 0.9060, focus on US data

  • USD/CHF retraces the recent gains ahead of the US Consumer Sentiment.
  • A slew of hot US economic numbers could limit the US Dollar's weakening.
  • Middle-East conflict could enhance the demand for the safe-haven Swiss Franc.

USD/CHF leans toward negative, turning downward post retracing recent gains. The spot price trades lower around 0.9060 during the early European session on Friday.

Despite the downward movement and reaching monthly lows on Thursday, the USD/CHF pair has experienced a rebound due to the optimistic economic data from the United States (US).

The US economic overview has been dynamic and reinforcing the strength of the US Dollar (USD), with the Consumer Price Index (CPI) exceeding expectations in September, showcasing a consistent annual expansion of 3.7%, slightly surpassing the estimated 3.6%.

The subtle uptick in Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending on October 6, marked by a modest increase of 209K, falling slightly below the forecasted 210K, indicates a nuanced trend suggesting a mild easing.

Thursday's data revealed a surge in the US Producer Price Index (PPI) in September on a yearly basis, rising from 2.0% to 2.2%. Additionally, the Core PPI climbed to 2.7%, surpassing the anticipated easing to 2.3%.

This upbeat US economic data has reignited the hawkish sentiment about the interest rates trajectory of the Federal Reserve (Fed), which could contribute support for the USD/CHF pair. The upbeat indicators have added complexity to the ongoing narrative, leading to speculation about how the Fed might respond.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades lower around 106.30 by the press time, retreating from the weekly highs. The US Dollar (USD) weakens due to the downbeat US Treasury yields, with the 10-year US bond yield standing at 4.65%, down by 0.91% at the time of writing.

On the Swiss side, the Producer and Import Prices (YoY) reached to 1.0% decline in September from the previous decline of 0.8%. While the monthly data showed a decline of 0.1% against the 0.8% decline in August.

Additionally, the Swiss Franc appears to be garnering buying support amid the military conflict in the Middle East, as the currency is sought after as a safe haven during periods of geopolitical uncertainty.

Investors are expected to watch the US Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index scheduled for release on Friday. This index serves as a vital gauge of consumer confidence, offering insights into the broader economic sentiment. The ongoing analysis of these indicators will likely influence trading decisions in the USD/CHF pair.

USD/CHF: additional important levels

Overview
Today last price0.9063
Today Daily Change-0.0021
Today Daily Change %-0.23
Today daily open0.9084
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.9091
Daily SMA500.8934
Daily SMA1000.8907
Daily SMA2000.9023
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9088
Previous Daily Low0.8987
Previous Weekly High0.9244
Previous Weekly Low0.9073
Previous Monthly High0.9225
Previous Monthly Low0.8795
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9049
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9026
Daily Pivot Point S10.9018
Daily Pivot Point S20.8952
Daily Pivot Point S30.8917
Daily Pivot Point R10.9119
Daily Pivot Point R20.9154
Daily Pivot Point R30.922

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD trades with negative bias around 1.1730 amid recovering USD; downside seems limited

The EUR/USD pair kicks off the new week on a softer note, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since early October, touched last Thursday. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.1730 region, down less than 0.10% for the day.

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.3300s as traders await key data and BoE this week

The GBP/USD pair remains on the defensive during the Asian session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the 200-day Simple Moving Average pivotal support. Spot prices currently trade around the 1.3360 region, nearly unchanged for the day.

Gold edges higher above $4,300 on Fed rate cut bets

Gold price attracts some buyers to around $4,315 during the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside to the highest since October 21 amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve next year. The delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls report for October will be in the spotlight later on Tuesday. 

Week ahead: US NFP and CPI, BoE, ECB and BoJ mark a busy week

After Fed decision, dollar traders lock gaze on NFP and CPI data. Will the BoE deliver a dovish interest rate cut? ECB expected to reiterate “good place” mantra. Will a BoJ rate hike help the yen recover some of its massive losses?

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Aave Price Forecast: AAVE primed for breakout as bullish signals strengthen

Aave (AAVE) price is trading above $204 at the time of writing on Friday and approaching the upper boundary of its descending parallel channel; a breakout from this structure would favor the bulls.