|

USD/CHF declines towards 0.9050 as Fed policymakers advocate a pause, US NFP eyed

  • USD/CHF is expected to extend its downside journey towards 0.9050 amid dovish Fed Harker commentary.
  • Fed Harker is confident that there will be no recession in the US economy.
  • SNB Jordan is committed to bringing inflation back below 2% as soon as possible as he sees inflation risks higher than deflation.

The USD/CHF pair is in a declining stage in early Asia and is expected to drop further toward the crucial support of 0.9050. The Swiss Franc asset witnessed a steep fall after dovish commentary from Federal Reserve (Fed) policymakers.

S&P500 futures have added some gains in Asia after a bullish Thursday, portraying a risk-appetite theme. Fed policymakers’ dovish commentary infused fresh blood into risk-perceived assets and weighed heavily on the US Dollar Index (DXY).

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is gauging an intermediate support around 103.50 after an intense sell-off move. Philadelphia Federal Reserve Bank President Patrick Harker stated on Thursday that he believes it is time for the central bank to 'hit the stop button' for at least one meeting, reiterating his comments from Wednesday about a potential pause at the next meeting. Harker argued that such a move would be prudent at this time.

Regarding economic outlook, Fed Harker is confident that there will be no recession in the United States economy, however, a significant deterioration in the labor market cannot be ruled out.

Going forward, the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls report will provide more clarity about the Employment status. Analysts at Danske Bank stated “We expect to see another relatively upbeat US Jobs Report. So far the signals from leading data have pointed towards healthy employment growth, which could be further supported by a renewed uptick in labor force participation. We think NFP grew by a solid 200K.”

On the Swiss Franc front, annual Real Retail Sales (April) contracted significantly by 3.7% while the street was anticipating a contraction of 1.4%, and previous data was contracted by 1.9%. On Wednesday, Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Thomas Jordan cited that they have to bring inflation back below 2% as soon as possible and noted that he sees inflation risks higher than deflation in the future, due to deglobalization.

USD/CHF

Overview
Today last price0.9056
Today Daily Change-0.0050
Today Daily Change %-0.55
Today daily open0.9106
 
Trends
Daily SMA200.8985
Daily SMA500.9005
Daily SMA1000.9131
Daily SMA2000.9381
 
Levels
Previous Daily High0.9148
Previous Daily Low0.9056
Previous Weekly High0.9075
Previous Weekly Low0.8941
Previous Monthly High0.9148
Previous Monthly Low0.882
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%0.9113
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%0.9091
Daily Pivot Point S10.9059
Daily Pivot Point S20.9011
Daily Pivot Point S30.8967
Daily Pivot Point R10.9151
Daily Pivot Point R20.9195
Daily Pivot Point R30.9243

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD stays defensive below 1.1750 as USD finds its feet

EUR/USD kicks off the new week on a softer note, holding below 1.1750 in European trading on Monday. The pair faces challenges due to a pause in the US Dollar downtrend, with traders shifting their focus to the delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls and CPI data for fresh directives. The ECB policy decision is also eagerly awaited. 

GBP/USD holds steady above 1.3350 as traders await key data and BoE

GBP/USD remains on the back foot above 1.3350 in the European session on Monday, though it lacks bearish conviction and holds above the key 200-day SMA support. The US Dollar holds its recovery mode ahead of key data releases, while the Pound Sterling faces headwinds from the expected BoE rate cut this week. 

Gold climbs to seven-week highs on Fed rate cut bets, safe-haven demand

Gold price rises to seven-week highs to near $4,350 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The precious metal extends its upside amid the prospect of interest rate cuts by the US Fed next year. Lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding Gold, supporting the non-yielding precious metal.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.