Weaker stocks tugged the Canadian Dollar (CAD) a bit lower yesterday and remain a risk for the currency in the near term as China and rising yields weigh on sentiment, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
CAD slips back to mid 1.36s
“The CAD is not getting any offset to soft stocks from firm crude prices this morning as China growth worries weigh on commodities broadly. The CAD’s underperformance is driving spot back to the mid-1.36s, the top of the recent range. Firm USD gains are driving a slightly more significant overvaluation in spot by our fair value model’s estimate.”
“Equilibrium is assessed to be 1.3547 today, a big figure below spot levels and the biggest divergence with the market rate since August. Overvaluation may constrain the USD’s ability to extend gains in the short run at least. Friday’s September jobs and Q3 BoC Business Outlook survey are more relevant for markets and the policy outlook.”
“Steady and sustained gains in the USD over the past week have driven spot back to the mid-September peak at 1.3647. There is a lot of congestion in the chart between 1.36/1.38 dating back to the spring/early summer which should slow—but may not prevent—additional USD gains. The 100-day MA sits at 1.3653 to provide a bit more anchorage for spot and the short-term chart is looking pretty stretched. But a clear push through the mid-1.36s may see USD gains extend to 1.37+. Support is 1.3610/20.”
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD struggles to recover above 1.1000 ahead of Fedspeak
EUR/USD holds ground on upbeat German Industrial Production data on Tuesday but finds it difficult to clear the 1.1000 hurdle. In the absence of high-tier macroeconomic data releases from the US, investors will pay close attention to comments from central bankers.
GBP/USD holds steady near 1.3100 as mood sours
GBP/USD trades in a tight channel at around 1.3100 following Monday's decline. The negative shift seen in risk mood doesn't allow the pair to gather recovery momentum as investors await comments from Federal Reserve policymakers.
Gold drops to three-week lows and challenges $2,600
Gold prices now accelerates its decline and revisit levels last seen in late September around the $2,600 mark per ounce troy on the back of further repricing of a smaller rate cut by the Fed in November and rising caution prior to the release of the FOMC Minutes on Wednesday.
Bitcoin eyes for $66,000 mark as ETF records inflows on Monday
Bitcoin (BTC) hovers slightly above $62,000 on Tuesday after a minor decline on Monday, buoyed by positive signs such as over $233 million in inflows into US Spot BTC Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs).
RBA widely expected to keep key interest rate unchanged amid persisting price pressures
The Reserve Bank of Australia is likely to continue bucking the trend adopted by major central banks of the dovish policy pivot, opting to maintain the policy for the seventh consecutive meeting on Tuesday.
Five best Forex brokers in 2024
VERIFIED Choosing the best Forex broker in 2024 requires careful consideration of certain essential factors. With the wide array of options available, it is crucial to find a broker that aligns with your trading style, experience level, and financial goals.