- USD/CAD regains positive traction and remains close to a multi-month top set on Wednesday.
- A fresh leg down in Oil prices undermines the Loonie and offers some support to the major.
- A modest USD downtick might cap gains ahead of the US PCE Price Index and Canadian GDP.
The USD/CAD pair attracts fresh buying on Thursday and for now, seems to have stalled its corrective pullback from the 1.3940 area, or the highest level since August 5 touched the previous day. Spot prices trade above the 1.3900 mark through the first half of the European session as traders keenly await important macro data from the US and Canada.
The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) Price Index should provide cues about the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate outlook, which, in turn, will play a key role in influencing the US Dollar (USD) price dynamics. Apart from this, the monthly Canadian GDP print should provide some meaningful impetus to the USD/CAD pair. Heading into the key data risk, renewed selling around Crude Oil prices is seen undermining the commodity-linked Loonie and acting as a tailwind for the currency pair.
The USD, on the other hand, languishes near the weekly low amid the hawkish Bank of Japan (BoJ)-inspired buying around the Japanese Yen (JPY). That said, elevated US Treasury bond yields, bolstered by firming expectations for a less aggressive policy easing by the Fed and deficit-spending concerns after the US election, continue to offer some support to the Greenback. Apart from this, the risk-off impulse benefits the USD's relative safe-haven status and contributes to the USD/CAD pair's move up.
The incoming US economic data suggests that the economy remains on strong footing and supports prospects for smaller interest rate cuts by the Fed. Furthermore, investors remain concerned that the spending plans of Vice President Kamala Harris and the Republican nominee Donald Trump will further increase the US fiscal deficit. This, in turn, continues to push the US bond yields higher and favors the USD bulls, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the USD/CAD pair remains to the upside.
Economic Indicator
Gross Domestic Product (MoM)
The Gross Domestic Product (GDP), released by Statistics Canada on a monthly and quarterly basis, is a measure of the total value of all goods and services produced in Canada during a given period. The GDP is considered as the main measure of Canadian economic activity. The MoM reading compares economic activity in the reference month to the previous month. Generally, a high reading is seen as bullish for the Canadian Dollar (CAD), while a low reading is seen as bearish.
Read more.
Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.
If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.
FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.
The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.
Recommended content
Editors’ Picks
EUR/USD clings to daily gains around 1.0860
The US Dollar manages to rebound from earlier lows, prompting EUR/USD to surrender part of its initial advance to the vicinity of the 1.0900 region as investors shigt their attention to the upcoming critical US labour market report on Friday.
USD/JPY maintains its offered stance in the low-152.00s
USD/JPY could not sustain the earlier bull run to the 153.00 region, succumbing to the prevailing BoJ-induced appreciation of the Japanese yen and thus returning to the 152.30-152.40 band amidst lower US yields across the curve ahead of Friday's US NFP.
Gold retreated sharply, trades around $2,740
Prices of Gold trade markedly on the defensive on Thursday following a marginal uptick in the Greenback and declining US yields. Despite the daily pullback, the yellow metal is anticipated to remain bolstered by steady uncertainty pre-US election.
Eurozone inflation up to 2% in October as unemployment hits new record low
The Eurozone’s inflation rate increased more than expected, with core inflation stable at 2.7%. The direction of incoming data in the region is not quite clear, which provides the ECB with confusing signals for the path of rate cuts.
Bank of Japan holds rates steady amid signs of modest GDP growth
Monthly industrial production results have been mixed but generally indicate a modest recovery in third-quarter GDP. Clear guidance from the Bank of Japan remains elusive, with each upcoming meeting being pivotal.
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads
VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.