USD/CAD stalls near 1.3850 as Fed controversy fuels further weakness

USD/CAD trades sideways near 1.3850 after dipping to a six-month low around 1.3800
Trump’s attacks on Fed independence and Powell weigh on USD sentiment
Technical structure stays bearish, resistance seen near 1.3805 and 1.3935

Patricio Martín FXStreet

The USD/CAD pair is treading water near the 1.3850 zone on Tuesday, struggling to extend its rebound after printing a fresh six-month low closer to the 1.3800 handle. The broader US Dollar remains on the defensive following two weeks of heavy losses, pressured by political risks and speculation about Federal Reserve leadership changes. President Trump’s criticism of Jerome Powell and suggestions of a possible dismissal have intensified concerns over the Fed’s independence, further dampening confidence in the Greenback.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) staged a modest bounce toward the 98.50 area after touching a three-year low at 98.00, but overall sentiment remains fragile. Investors are bracing for deeper losses amid persistent tensions around US-China trade, Powell’s autonomy, and growing doubts about the USD’s reserve status. Meanwhile, the Canadian Dollar holds steady, supported by expectations that the Bank of Canada will maintain a neutral monetary policy stance.

From a technical perspective, USD/CAD maintains a bearish bias. The pair is currently trading around 1.3800, within a narrow range of 1.3781–1.3852. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is holding near 31, suggesting neutral momentum, while the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) and Momentum indicators are both flashing sell signals. Major moving averages, including the 20-day (1.4103), 100-day (1.4278), and 200-day (1.4006) Simple Moving Averages, all slope downward, confirming a bearish trend. Additional resistance is noted at 1.3805, 1.3934, and 1.3938.

Unless the political dust settles or incoming US data shifts sentiment, USD/CAD is likely to remain capped below the 1.3930–1.3940 zone, with risk skewed toward a further dip beneath 1.3800.

USD/CAD daily chart

Author

Patricio Martín

FXStreet

Patricio is an economist from Argentina passionate about global finance and understanding the daily movements of the markets.

EUR/USD remains offered below 1.1600, seems vulnerable near multi-month low

The EUR/USD pair struggles to capitalize on the overnight bounce from the 1.1530 region, or the lowest level since November 2025, and lower for the third consecutive day on Wednesday. Spot prices slide back below the 1.1600 mark during the Asian session and seem vulnerable to slide further.

GBP/USD slips below key averages as geopolitical risks mount

GBP/USD fell about 0.35% on Tuesday, settling around 1.3350 after slipping below the 200-day Exponential Moving Average for the first time since early December. The pair has pulled back sharply from its late-January high near 1.3870, shedding over 500 pips in a series of lower highs and lower lows.

Gold rebounds ahead of US ADP, will it last?

Gold finds renewed Asian bids and retests $5,230 early Wednesday after the heavy sell-off on Tuesday. The US Dollar stands tall amid escalating Middle East tensions and reduced dovish Fed expectations. Gold defends $5,000 or 50% Fibo level after facing rejection at the 78.6% Fibo resistance at $5,342 amid bullish RSI.

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple struggle for direction as consolidation persists

Bitcoin, Ethereum and Ripple prices trade with a cautious tone at the time of writing on Wednesday as upside momentum continues to fade across the broader crypto market. BTC remains within a parallel channel, ETH struggles below key resistance, while XRP remains fragile within a descending channel. These top three cryptocurrencies by market capitalization continue to struggle to establish a directional bias amid the consolidation phase.

Energy shock 2.0: Why rising Gas prices could hit the Euro

Even without a confirmed, sustained disruption, the mere risk to a key global energy chokepoint is enough to inject a significant premium into European Gas markets. And for the Euro, that matters.

Ripple falters amid sell-off jitters and negative funding rates

Ripple (XRP) has come under pressure, drifting lower to $1.35 at the time of writing on Tuesday. The over 2% correction looks poised to erase the previous day’s gains, which lifted the remittance token to $1.42.