USD/CAD Price Analysis: Surges above the 1.3300 barrier ahead of US ADP Employment Change


  • USD/CAD attracts some dip-buying and edges higher to 1.3305, gaining 0.19% for the day.
  • The next barrier for USD/CAD is located at 1.3350; 1.3285 acts as an initial support level.
  • The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands above 50.

The USD/CAD pair gains momentum and surges above the 1.3300 barrier heading into the early European session on Wednesday. The major pair is on track for its sixth weekly close above 1.3200.

Fitch downgraded the US government's credit rating from AAA to AA+, but expectations for an additional 25 basis point (bps) rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) support the US Dollar (USD) and help USD/CAD attract some dip-buying on Wednesday. However, an increase in oil prices would benefit the Canadian Dollar, since Canada is the largest oil exporter to the United States. Market players await the US ADP employment data later in the American session.

According to the four-hour chart, any meaningful follow-through buying above the 1.3300 area will see a rally to the next barrier at 1.3350 (High of June 15). Following that, the July 7 high of 1.3385 will be the next hurdle, followed by 1.3450 (High of June 6).

Looking at the downside, any extended weakness below 1.3285 (the midline of the Bollinger Band) will challenge the next downside filter at 1.3265 (the lower limit of the Bollinger Band) en route to 1.3235 (100-hour EMA) and 1.3220 (the 200-hour EMA). A decisive break below the latter would drive the pair towards 1.3200 (a psychological round mark).

However, the further upside appears favorable as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands above 50, activating the bullish momentum for the USD/CAD pair for the time being.

USD/CAD four-hour chart

 

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3305
Today Daily Change 0.0023
Today Daily Change % 0.17
Today daily open 1.3282
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3218
Daily SMA50 1.3295
Daily SMA100 1.3414
Daily SMA200 1.3459
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.33
Previous Daily Low 1.3184
Previous Weekly High 1.3255
Previous Weekly Low 1.3147
Previous Monthly High 1.3387
Previous Monthly Low 1.3093
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3256
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3229
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.321
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.314
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3095
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3326
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3371
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3442

 

 

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