USD/CAD Price Analysis: Set for further downside below 1.3000


  • USD/CAD keeps week-start break of weekly support, off intraday low.
  • Double tops around 1.3080 and downbeat oscillators keep sellers hopeful.
  • Key SMAs can probe the downside ahead of six-week-old horizontal support.
  • The late 2020 peak can lure the bulls on crossing 1.3080.

USD/CAD bounces off intraday low of 1.2975, at 1.2983 by the press time, as it extends the previous day’s losses during Tuesday’s Asian session.

In doing so, the loonie pair holds onto the downside break of a one-week-old ascending trend line, previous support, while keeping the Friday’s U-turn from a 19-month high.

It’s worth noting that the Loonie pair ticked up to refresh the multi-month high before reversing from 1.3075. In that process, the quote portrayed a double-top bearish chart pattern surrounding the 1.3080-75 area.

Hence, the double-top formation and a downbeat break of the immediate support, not to forget bearish MACD signals and descending RSI line, suggest the USD/CAD pair’s further downside.

As a result, the 50-SMA and the 200-SMA levels, respectively around 1.2880 and 1.2810, are likely luring the short-term bears before directing them to the horizontal area comprising multiple levels marked since early May around 1.2710.

On the contrary, recovery moves need to jump back beyond the support-turned-resistance line, close to 1.2990 by the press time, to recall the buyers. Also acting as an immediate upside filter is the 1.3000 psychological magnet.

Should the USD/CAD pair remains firmer past 1.3000, it can again aim to cross the 1.3080 hurdle, which in turn holds the key for a rally toward the latest 2020 levels surrounding 1.3175-80.

USD/CAD: Four-hour chart

Trend: Further downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.2981
Today Daily Change -0.0057
Today Daily Change % -0.44%
Today daily open 1.3038
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2745
Daily SMA50 1.2768
Daily SMA100 1.2717
Daily SMA200 1.2671
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3079
Previous Daily Low 1.2939
Previous Weekly High 1.3079
Previous Weekly Low 1.2774
Previous Monthly High 1.3077
Previous Monthly Low 1.2629
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3026
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2993
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2958
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2879
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2819
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3098
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3158
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3237

 

 

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