USD/CAD Price Analysis: Recovery takes shape of a rising wedge


  • USD/CAD prints a rising wedge bearish reversal pattern on the hourly chart. 
  • A breakdown would expose the recent low of 1.2928.

USD/CAD's recovery from Monday's low of 1.2928 to 1.3070 has taken the shape of a rising wedge pattern as per the hourly chart

A rising wedge comprises converging trendlines connecting higher highs and higher lows. The converging nature of trendlines indicates weak upside momentum. As such, a breakdown is considered a sign of bearish reversal. 

In this case, a breakdown would imply an en end of the corrective bounce from 1.2928 and open the doors for a re-test of that level. 

However, if the pair rises above the top end of the rising wedge, the bearish pattern would be negated, and further gains toward the descending 10-day simple moving average (SMA) at 1.3105 may be seen. 

That possibility cannot be ruled out, as the daily chart shows the pair closed above 1.3051 on Wednesday, confirming a bullish view put forward by Tuesday's inside day candlestick pattern. 

Hourly chart

Trend: Cautiously bullish

Technical levels

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3069
Today Daily Change 0.0002
Today Daily Change % 0.02
Today daily open 1.3067
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3162
Daily SMA50 1.3203
Daily SMA100 1.3292
Daily SMA200 1.354
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3078
Previous Daily Low 1.3009
Previous Weekly High 1.337
Previous Weekly Low 1.3019
Previous Monthly High 1.339
Previous Monthly Low 1.3081
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3051
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3035
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3025
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2982
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2956
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3093
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.312
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3162

 

 

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