|

USD/CAD Price Analysis: Extends recovery to near 1.3250

  • USD/CAD rebounds to near 1.3250 after a consolidation breakout.
  • The USD Index has climbed to near 101.35 while the broader bias is still downbeat.
  • A mean-reversion move to near the 20-EMA is highly likely.

The USD/CAD pair climbs to near 1.3250 after delivering a decisive break of the consolidation formed in a range of 1.3180-1.3230 from Wednesday. The Loonie asset jumps as the US Dollar Index (DXY) has recovered further and the oil price has been hit due to resumption of commercial shipment from the Red Sea route.

The oil price has been corrected almost 6% from three-week high of $76.00 as oil supply will improve ahead. It is worth noting that Canada is the leading exporter of oil to the United States and lower oil prices impact the Canadian Dollar.

Meanwhile, the recovery in the USD Index has been extended to 101.35. Investors hope that market reaction to expectations of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) from March 2024 is overwhelming than anticipated. In spite of a swift recovery attempt, the USD Index is expected to end 2023 with significant losses.

USD/CAD has been falling since the first day of November and is expected to decline further towards June 27 low, which is around 1.3117. However, a mean-reversion move to near the downward-sloping 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around 1.3377 is highly likely.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) hovers in the bearish range of 20.00-40.00, which indicates downside momentum is intact.

Going forward, a breakdown below December 28 low of 1.3180 would expose the asset to July 25 low near 1.3150, followed by July 13 low around 1.3193.

In an alternate scenario, a recovery move above April 14 low around 1.3300 would drive the asset towards December 21 high at 1.3370. A breach of the latter would push the Loonie asset towards May 16 low at 1.3404.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.3248
Today Daily Change0.0020
Today Daily Change %0.15
Today daily open1.3228
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.342
Daily SMA501.3606
Daily SMA1001.359
Daily SMA2001.349
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3236
Previous Daily Low1.3182
Previous Weekly High1.3409
Previous Weekly Low1.3219
Previous Monthly High1.3899
Previous Monthly Low1.3541
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3215
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3203
Daily Pivot Point S11.3195
Daily Pivot Point S21.3162
Daily Pivot Point S31.3142
Daily Pivot Point R11.3248
Daily Pivot Point R21.3269
Daily Pivot Point R31.3302

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD clings to small gains near 1.1750

Following a short-lasting correction in the early European session, EUR/USD regains its traction and clings to moderate gains at around 1.1750 on Monday. Nevertheless, the pair's volatility remains low, with investors awaiting this weeks key data releases from the US and the ECB policy announcements.

GBP/USD edges higher toward 1.3400 ahead of US data and BoE

GBP/USD reverses its direction and advances toward 1.3400 following a drop to the 1.3350 area earlier in the day. The US Dollar struggles to gather recovery momentum as markets await Tuesday's Nonfarm Payrolls data, while the Pound Sterling holds steady ahead of the BoE policy announcements later in the week.

Gold stuck around $4,300 as markets turn cautious

Gold loses its bullish momentum and retreats below $4,350 after testing this level earlier on Monday. XAU/USD, however, stays in positive territory as the US Dollar remains on the back foot on growing expectations for a dovish Fed policy outlook next year.

Solana consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout. On the institutional side, demand for spot Solana Exchange-Traded Funds remained firm, pushing total assets under management to nearly $1 billion since launch. 

Big week ends with big doubts

The S&P 500 continued to push higher yesterday as the US 2-year yield wavered around the 3.50% mark following a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut earlier this week that was ultimately perceived as not that hawkish after all. The cut is especially boosting the non-tech pockets of the market.

Solana Price Forecast: SOL consolidates as spot ETF inflows near $1 billion signal institutional dip-buying

Solana (SOL) price hovers above $131 at the time of writing on Monday, nearing the upper boundary of a falling wedge pattern, awaiting a decisive breakout.