USD/CAD Price Analysis: Edges down from one-year high of 1.3880, Fed policy in focus


  • USD/CAD falls modestly from one-year high at 1.3880 as the US Dollar retreats.
  • Janet Yellen said high US bond yields reflect strong confidence in the US economy.
  • Investors await BoC Macklem speech and Fed’s monetary policy.

The USD/CAD pair falls gradually from the one-year high of 1.3880 in the European session. The Loonie asset drops as the US Dollar Index (DXY) slips sharply from 106.70 as investors shift focus to the interest rate decision by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which will be announced on Wednesday.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) faces selling pressure as investors hope that the Fed is done with hiking interest rates due to higher US Treasury yields. 10-year US bond yields have risen to 4.85% and have tightened financial conditions significantly.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said last week that high US bond yields reflect strong confidence in the US economy and indicate that interest rates will remain higher for a longer period.

The Canadian Dollar would dance to the tunes of the speech from Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem, which is scheduled for Wednesday. BoC Macklem may provide guidance on interest rates and inflation in Canada.

USD/CAD struggles to extend upside above the one-year high around 1.3880. The near-term demand for the Loonie asset remains upbeat as the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.3715 is sloping toward north.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) (14) shifts into the bullish range of 60.00-80.00, which indicates that the bullish momentum has triggered.

A decisive break above October 27 high at 1.3880 would expose the round-level resistance at 1.3900, followed by 13 October 2022 high at 1.3978.

In an alternate scenario, a breakdown below October 24 low around 1.3660 would drag the asset to the round-level support of 1.3600. A further breakdown could expose the asset to October 7 low at 1.3570.

USD/CAD daily chart

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3849
Today Daily Change -0.0022
Today Daily Change % -0.16
Today daily open 1.3871
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3698
Daily SMA50 1.3607
Daily SMA100 1.3444
Daily SMA200 1.348
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3881
Previous Daily Low 1.3796
Previous Weekly High 1.3881
Previous Weekly Low 1.3661
Previous Monthly High 1.3694
Previous Monthly Low 1.3379
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3848
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3829
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3818
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3765
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3734
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3902
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3934
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3987

 

 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data

EUR/USD treads water just above 1.0400 post-US data

Another sign of the good health of the US economy came in response to firm flash US Manufacturing and Services PMIs, which in turn reinforced further the already strong performance of the US Dollar, relegating EUR/USD to the 1.0400 neighbourhood on Friday.

EUR/USD News
GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar

GBP/USD remains depressed near 1.2520 on stronger Dollar

Poor results from the UK docket kept the British pound on the back foot on Thursday, hovering around the low-1.2500s in a context of generalized weakness in the risk-linked galaxy vs. another outstanding day in the Greenback.

GBP/USD News
Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700

Gold keeps the bid bias unchanged near $2,700

Persistent safe haven demand continues to prop up the march north in Gold prices so far on Friday, hitting new two-week tops past the key $2,700 mark per troy ounce despite extra strength in the Greenback and mixed US yields.

Gold News
Geopolitics back on the radar

Geopolitics back on the radar

Rising tensions between Russia and Ukraine caused renewed unease in the markets this week. Putin signed an amendment to Russian nuclear doctrine, which allows Russia to use nuclear weapons for retaliating against strikes carried out with conventional weapons.

Read more
Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

Eurozone PMI sounds the alarm about growth once more

The composite PMI dropped from 50 to 48.1, once more stressing growth concerns for the eurozone. Hard data has actually come in better than expected recently – so ahead of the December meeting, the ECB has to figure out whether this is the PMI crying wolf or whether it should take this signal seriously. We think it’s the latter.

Read more
Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

Best Forex Brokers with Low Spreads

VERIFIED Low spreads are crucial for reducing trading costs. Explore top Forex brokers offering competitive spreads and high leverage. Compare options for EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, and Gold.

Read More

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures