USD/CAD Price Analysis: Bears need validation from 1.3500 support confluence


  • USD/CAD holds lower ground near intraday low, snaps two-day uptrend.
  • Bearish MACD signals, downbeat RSI hints at further downside of the Loonie pair.
  • Convergence of 100-HMA, support line of two-week-old ascending triangle restricts short-term declines of the USD/CAD pair.

USD/CAD drops 0.25% intraday during the first loss-making day in three heading into Thursday’s European session. In doing so, the Loonie pair drops to 1.3520 by the press time.

That said, the USD/CAD pair’s latest moves appear forming a fortnight-old ascending triangle formation. The same joins downbeat RSI (14) and bearish MACD signals to favor the bearish chart formation.

However, a clear downside break of 1.3500 becomes necessary as the 100-Hour Moving Average (HMA) joins the stated triangle’s lower line to increase the strength of the stated support confluence.

Following that, tops marked during late January and early February, respectively near 1.3520 and 1.3475, could probe the USD/CAD bears before directing them to the theoretical target surrounding 1.3200.

On the contrary, USD/CAD buyers may aim for the latest swing high surrounding 1.3570 before poking the stated triangle’s top line, close to 1.3585 by the press time.

In a case where the Loonie pair remains firmer past 1.3585, the bearish chart formation gets defied as the bulls brace for a late 2022 swing high surrounding 1.3700.

To sum up, USD/CAD slips off bull’s radar but the sellers await clear break of 1.3500 to retake control.

USD/CAD: Hourly chart

Trend: Limited downside expected

Additional important levels

Overview
Today last price 1.3522
Today Daily Change -0.0034
Today Daily Change % -0.25%
Today daily open 1.3556
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3399
Daily SMA50 1.3466
Daily SMA100 1.3515
Daily SMA200 1.3256
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3568
Previous Daily Low 1.3515
Previous Weekly High 1.3538
Previous Weekly Low 1.3274
Previous Monthly High 1.3685
Previous Monthly Low 1.33
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3548
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3535
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3524
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3493
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3471
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3578
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.36
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3632

 

 

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