USD/CAD needs to surpass 1.2850 for a fresh impulsive wave, WTI plunges below $110


  • USD/CAD may attract bids after overstepping 1.2900 on weak oil prices.
  • OPEC and its allies have agreed on increasing oil production.
  • The loonie has underperformed against its counterparts amid the risk-on impulse.

The USD/CAD pair has witnessed some long liquidation from 1.2900 as safe-haven assets lose their appeal. The US dollar index (DXY) slipped below 98.00, which triggered the demand of all risk-perceived currencies. However, the loonie has underperformed in comparison with its counterparts and had failed to bring a material sell-off in the USD/CAD pair.

The major reason behind the underperformance of the loonie is the sell-off in the West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil. The oil prices have fallen like a house of cards after hitting multi-year highs at $126.51. Investors dumped the black gold after the US urged the oil producers to increase their production. In response to that, OPEC member UAE favored pumping more oil to fix the galloping deviation in the demand-supply mechanism.

"We favor production increases and will be encouraging OPEC to consider higher production levels," tweeted by the UAE Embassy in Washington.

It is worth noting that a few members of OPEC have spare capacity to explore more oil, which can diminish the impact of the ban on the Russian oil supply. Investors should be aware of the fact that the US has prohibited the imports of Russian oil against its invasion of Ukraine.

Meanwhile, the oil stockpiles by Energy Information Association (EIA) remained at -1.863M, lower than the market consensus of -0.657M but outperformed the prior figure of -2.597M.

On the DXY front, the index is hovering around 98.00 and is likely to consolidate further as investors are waiting for US inflation numbers, which are due on Thursday. While the loonie docket will report the Unemployment rate on Friday.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.2816
Today Daily Change -0.0074
Today Daily Change % -0.57
Today daily open 1.289
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.2734
Daily SMA50 1.2685
Daily SMA100 1.2658
Daily SMA200 1.2582
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.2901
Previous Daily Low 1.2796
Previous Weekly High 1.281
Previous Weekly Low 1.2587
Previous Monthly High 1.2878
Previous Monthly Low 1.2636
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2861
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2836
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2824
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2758
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2719
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.2929
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.2967
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3034

 

 

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