USD/CAD jumps to near 1.3600 as US Dollar recovers, Fed Powell’s speech eyed


  • USD/CAD climbs to near 1.3600 as the US Dollar resumes its upside journey.
  • Investors await the Fed Powell’s speech and US Manufacturing PMI data.
  • Global slowdown risks elevated further as Caixin Manufacturing PMI failed to match expectations.

The USD/CAD pair moves vertically to near the round-level resistance of 1.3600 in the late European session. The Loonie asset strengthens as the US Dollar concludes its correction and resumes its upside journey to near fresh 11-month high around 106.80.

S&P500 futures added some losses in the London session, portraying further strengthening of the risk-off theme. US equities are expected to remain cautious despite US government managing to ditch a government shutdown in a last-minute deal. The agreement between the US House and Senate approved a funding bill until November 17.

Meanwhile, investors await the speech from Federal Reserve (Fed) chair Jerome Powell, which will shape expectations about the interest rate outlook. As per the CME Fedwatch tool, investors price in that interest rates will remain steady at 5.25%-5.50% at the November monetary policy. Meanwhile, chances for interest rates remaining unchanged at 5.25%-5.50% until the end of 2023 dropped to 56%.

Apart from that, the focus will be on the US Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing PMI, which will be published at 14:00 GMT. The US factory activities are expected to remain below the 50.0 threshold as US firms are operating at a lower capacity due to a deteriorating demand environment. The economic data is seen nominally by 10 basis points (bps) to 47.7.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) climbs above 106.50 after concluding the correcting move as the market mood remains downbeat. The global slowdown risks elevated further as Caixin Manufacturing's PMI failed to match expectations.

On the Canadian Dollar front, investors await the employment data for September, which will be released later this week. The economic data will shape upcoming monetary policy meetings.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3616
Today Daily Change 0.0039
Today Daily Change % 0.29
Today daily open 1.3577
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.354
Daily SMA50 1.3473
Daily SMA100 1.3403
Daily SMA200 1.3459
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.3585
Previous Daily Low 1.3417
Previous Weekly High 1.3585
Previous Weekly Low 1.3417
Previous Monthly High 1.3694
Previous Monthly Low 1.3379
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3521
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3481
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3468
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3358
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.33
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3636
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.3694
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.3804

 

 

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