|

USD/CAD hovers above 1.3800, US inflation data awaited

  • USD/CAD moves higher due to the market caution before US data.
  • US Treasury Secretary Yellen disagrees with Moody's decision to cut its outlook on US debt.
  • CAD fails to cheer the improved Crude oil prices.
  • WTI price strengthened on OPEC’s monthly report, stating market fundamentals remained strong.

USD/CAD bids higher around 1.3810 during the Asian session on Tuesday, extending gains for the second successive session. However, the US Dollar (USD) grapples with challenges as it struggles to halt losses. The Greenback could face headwinds from the volatile US bond yields. However, it seems that market participants adopt a cautious stance before US inflation data, which contributes support to underpinning the USD/CAD pair.

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen showed confidence in the resilience of the US economy despite the concerns raised by the credit rating agency “Moody”. She has expressed disagreement with Moody's decision last week to cut its outlook on US debt. Secretary Yellen also stated at the close of the APEC Finance Ministers' Meeting in San Francisco, California that the US economy is strong, and the Treasury market is both safe and liquid. Moody's decision to lower its outlook on the US credit rating to "negative" from "stable" is based on concerns about large fiscal deficits and a decline in debt affordability.

The upcoming US inflation data on Tuesday is indeed a key event for investors, and it's likely to influence the trajectory of the USD/CAD pair. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have emphasized that further tightening will depend on the data. If the inflation data comes in line with expectations, it might convince investors to believe that the Fed’s interest rate hikes are completed.

On the other side, the Canadian Dollar (CAD) seems to fail to cheer on the improved Crude oil prices. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) Crude price continues the winning streak, trading higher around 78.50 at the time of writing. OPEC in its monthly report said that market fundamentals remained strong, which reinforces the Crude oil prices. Additionally, the US cracks down on Russian oil exports, which concerns supplies.

Toni Gravelle, as a Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada (BoC), is set to deliver talking points during a panel discussion titled "Challenges for Financial Stability and Financial Regulation amid Heightened Uncertainty." This discussion is likely to shed light on the perspectives and insights of the BoC regarding the current economic scenario and challenges in the realm of financial stability and regulation.

USD/CAD: more levels to watch

Overview
Today last price1.3811
Today Daily Change0.0009
Today Daily Change %0.07
Today daily open1.3802
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3767
Daily SMA501.3656
Daily SMA1001.3505
Daily SMA2001.3503
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.3832
Previous Daily Low1.3777
Previous Weekly High1.3855
Previous Weekly Low1.3629
Previous Monthly High1.3892
Previous Monthly Low1.3562
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.3811
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.3798
Daily Pivot Point S11.3776
Daily Pivot Point S21.3749
Daily Pivot Point S31.3721
Daily Pivot Point R11.383
Daily Pivot Point R21.3858
Daily Pivot Point R31.3884

Author

Akhtar Faruqui

Akhtar Faruqui is a Forex Analyst based in New Delhi, India. With a keen eye for market trends and a passion for dissecting complex financial dynamics, he is dedicated to delivering accurate and insightful Forex news and analysis.

More from Akhtar Faruqui
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD flatlines below 1.1800 ahead of Fed Minutes

EUR/USD struggles to find direction and continues to move sideways below 1.1800 for the second consecutive day on Tuesday as markets remain in holiday mood. Later in the American session, the Federal Reserve will publish the minutes of the December policy meeting.

GBP/USD retreats to 1.3500 area following earlier climb

GBP/USD loses its traction and trades flat on the day near 1.3500 after rising to the 1.3530 area early Tuesday. Trading conditions remain thin ahead of the New Year holiday, limiting the pair's volatility. The Fed will publish December meeting minutes in the late American session.

Gold rebounds toward $4,400 following sharp correction

Gold gathers recovery momentum and advances toward $4,400 on Tuesday after losing more than 4% on Monday. Increased margin requirements on gold and silver futures by the Chicago Mercantile Exchange Group, one of the world’s largest trading floors for commodities, prompted widespread profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing.

Tron steadies as Justin Sun invests $18 million in Tron Inc.

Tron (TRX) trades above $0.2800 at press time on Monday, hovering below the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $0.2859.

Economic outlook 2026-2027 in advanced countries: Solidity test

After a year marked by global economic resilience and ending on a note of optimism, 2026 looks promising and could be a year of solid economic performance. In our baseline scenario, we expect most of the supportive factors at work in 2025 to continue to play a role in 2026.

Crypto market outlook for 2026

Year 2025 was volatile, as crypto often is.  Among positive catalysts were favourable regulatory changes in the U.S., rise of Digital Asset Treasuries (DAT), adoption of AI and tokenization of Real-World-Assets (RWA).