USD/CAD flirts with weekly low, around 1.3500 mark amid modest USD weakness


  • USD/CAD attracts some intraday sellers on Thursday amid a weaker US Dollar.
  • The BoC’s hawkish pause underpins the CAD and contributes to the downtick.
  • Rebounding US bond yields and a softer risk tone to limit further USD losses.

The USD/CAD pair struggles to capitalize on the Asian session uptick on Thursday and languishes near the 1.3500 psychological mark, just above a one-week low touched the previous day.

Mixed signals on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate-cut path fail to assist the US Dollar (USD) to register any meaningful recovery from its lowest level since early February, which, in turn, is seen acting as a headwind for the USD/CAD pair. Fed Chair Jerome Powell told US lawmakers on Wednesday that the central bank will cut interest rates this year, though wants to see more evidence that inflation is falling to the 2% target. Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari, however, downplayed speculations about more aggressive policy easing and said that he may reduce the number of cuts this year, possibly to only one in the wake of the incoming stronger US macro data.

The Canadian Dollar (CAD), on the other hand, continues to draw support from a hawkish hold from the Bank of Canada (BoC) on Wednesday. Meanwhile, subdued Crude Oil prices do little to provide any meaningful impetus to the commodity-linked Loonie. Furthermore, the yield on the benchmark 10-year US government bond rebounds from a one-month low touched on Wednesday, which, along with a generally softer tone around the equity markets, acts as a tailwind for the safe-haven buck. This, in turn, should help limit any meaningful downside for the USD/CAD pair and warrants some caution before positioning for any further depreciating move.

Moving ahead, investors now look to Fed Chair Powell's second day of testimony before the Senate Banking Committee. Apart from this, traders will take cues from Thursday's economic docket – featuring the US Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, and Trade Balance figures from the US and Canada. This, along with the US bond yields and the broader risk sentiment, will influence the USD demand and provide some impetus to the USD/CAD pair.

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.3505
Today Daily Change -0.0012
Today Daily Change % -0.09
Today daily open 1.3517
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3518
Daily SMA50 1.3456
Daily SMA100 1.3536
Daily SMA200 1.3477
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.36
Previous Daily Low 1.3499
Previous Weekly High 1.3606
Previous Weekly Low 1.3484
Previous Monthly High 1.3606
Previous Monthly Low 1.3366
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.3538
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.3561
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.3478
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.3438
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.3376
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3579
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.364
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.368

 

 

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