|

USD/CAD drops to near 1.4300 after US-Canada employment data

  • USD/CAD falls to near 1.4300 after the release of the employment data for both the US and Canada.
  • Surprisingly upbeat Canadian employment data has provided some support to the Canadian Dollar.
  • The US NFP data misses estimates and came in lower at 143K.

The USD/CAD pair falls to near 1.4300 in North American trading hours on Friday. The Loonie pair drops after the release of the employment data for January in both the United States (US) and Canada.

The Canadian labor market report came in surprisingly stronger than expected. The report showed that the economy added 76K workers in January, beating the estimate of 25K but remaining lower than the December reading of 91K. The Unemployment Rate decelerated to 6.6% from expectations of 6.8% and the previous release of 6.7%.

Signs of strong labor market data are expected to provide a big relief for the Canadian economy, which is facing the risk of economic slowdown. It appears that the impact of interest rate cuts yet taken by the Bank of Canada (BoC) is coming into effect. However, upbeat labor market data is unlikely to force traders to pare BoC dovish bets as risks of inflation undershooting the central bank’s target of 2%

Meanwhile, the US employment data showed that the labor demand remains weak. The Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report showed that employers hired added 143K job-seekers in January, significantly lower than estimates of 170K and the former release of 307K, upwardly revised from 256K. The Unemployment Rate decelerates to 4% from the estimates and the prior reading of 4.1%.

However, the Average Hourly Earnings data, a key measure of wage growth, surprisingly came in higher than projected. On year, the wage growth measure rose at a faster pace of 4.1%, compared to 3.9% in December. Month-on-month Average Hourly Earnings data rose at a faster pace of 0.5% against estimates and the former release of 0.3%.

Hot wage growth data is likely to boost market speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep interest rates at their current levels for longer.

Author

Sagar Dua

Sagar Dua

FXStreet

Sagar Dua is associated with the financial markets from his college days. Along with pursuing post-graduation in Commerce in 2014, he started his markets training with chart analysis.

More from Sagar Dua
Share:

Markets move fast. We move first.

Orange Juice Newsletter brings you expert driven insights - not headlines. Every day on your inbox.

By subscribing you agree to our Terms and conditions.

Editor's Picks

EUR/USD holds around 1.1750 after weak German and EU PMI data

EUR/USD maintains its range trade at around 1.1750 in European trading on Tuesday. Weaker-than-expected December PMI data from Germany and the Eurozone make it difficult for the Euro to find demand, while investors refrain from taking large USD positions ahead of key employment data.

GBP/USD climbs above 1.3400 after upbeat UK PMI data

GBP/USD gains traction and trades in positive territory above 1.3400 on Tuesday as the British Pound benefits from upbeat PMI data. Later in the day, crucial data releases from the US, including Nonfarm Payrolls, Retail Sales and PMI, could trigger the next big action in the pair.

Gold retreats from seven week highs on profit-taking; all eyes on US NFP release

Gold price loses momentum below $4,300 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday, pressured by some profit-taking and weak long liquidation from the shorter-term futures traders. Furthermore, optimism around Ukraine peace talks could weigh on the safe-haven asset like Gold.

US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to point to cooling labor market in November

The United States Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the delayed Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for October and November on Tuesday at 13:30 GMT. Economists expect Nonfarm Payrolls to rise by 40,000 in November. The Unemployment Rate is likely to remain unchanged at 4.4% during the same period.

NFP preview: Complex data release will determine if Fed was right to cut rates

The long wait is over, and the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the US will release nonfarm payrolls reports for both November and October at 1330 GMT on Tuesday. The overall NFP figure for October is expected to be -10k, however, it is expected to be influenced by a massive 130k drop in federal department workers. 

BNB Price Forecast: BNB slips below $855 as bearish on-chain signals and momentum indicators turn negative

BNB, formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to trade down around $855 at the time of writing on Tuesday, after a slight decline the previous day. Bearish sentiment further strengthens as BNB’s on-chain and derivatives data show rising retail activity.