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USD/CAD drops below 1.2600, falling crude oil prices limit losses

  • USD/CAD is trading with modest losses below 1.2600.
  • WTI pares daily gains, turns flat below $65.
  • US Dollar Index stays deep in the negative territory near 91.50.

After rising toward 1.2700 on Wednesday, the USD/CAD pair reversed its course and closed in the negative territory at 1.2617. With the USD struggling to find demand on Thursday, the pair extended its slide and was last seen losing 0.27% on the day at 1.2583.

Falling T-bond yields weigh on USD

The USD's market valuation remains the primary driver of USD/CAD's movements in the second half of the week. Pressured by the sharp decline witnessed in the US Treasury bond yields, the US Dollar Index is losing 0.3% at 91.55. Later in the session, the weekly Initial Jobless Claims and JOLTS Job Openings for January data from the US will be looked upon for fresh impetus.

On the other hand, the poor performance of crude oil prices keeps the commodity-related CAD's gains limited for the time being. Earlier in the day, the barrel of West Texas Intermediate rose to a daily high of $65.60 but lost its traction and turned flat on the day near $64.80.

Meanwhile, the Bank of Canada (BoC) decided to keep its policy rate unchanged at 0.25% as expected on Wednesday and failed to trigger a noticeable market reaction. Lawrence Schembri, Deputy Governor of the Bank of Canada, is scheduled to deliver a speech at 1830 GMT. On Friday, the Canadian labour market report will be the last significant data release of the week.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2583
Today Daily Change-0.0037
Today Daily Change %-0.29
Today daily open1.262
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2648
Daily SMA501.2699
Daily SMA1001.284
Daily SMA2001.3094
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2684
Previous Daily Low1.2613
Previous Weekly High1.274
Previous Weekly Low1.2575
Previous Monthly High1.287
Previous Monthly Low1.2468
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.264
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2657
Daily Pivot Point S11.2594
Daily Pivot Point S21.2569
Daily Pivot Point S31.2524
Daily Pivot Point R11.2664
Daily Pivot Point R21.2709
Daily Pivot Point R31.2735

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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