USD/CAD continues to trade below 1.3000 as oil rally offsets broad USD strength


  • WTI trades above $63 on escalating geopolitical tensions in Middle East.
  • US Dollar Index extends recovery to 97 area on Friday.
  • Coming up: ISM Manufacturing PMI and FOMC meeting minutes.

The USD/CAD pair rose above the 1.3000 handle earlier in the day but struggled to stretch higher as surging crude oil prices helped the commodity-related loonie stay resilient against the greenback. As of writing, the pair was up 0.06% on the day at 1.2986.

Oil rises on US-Iran conflict

After the US airstrike killed a top Iranian commander in Baghdad on Friday, crude oil prices rose sharply as investors started to price the potential negative impact on the oil supply from the area. The barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) advanced to its highest level in seven months at $64.05 before pulling back modestly. Ahead of the US Energy Information Administration's weekly crude oil stock report, the WTI is trading at $63.30, adding 3.5% on a daily basis.

On the other hand, the greenback took advantage of the risk-off atmosphere with the US Dollar Index advancing beyond the 97 mark and turning positive for the week. 

Before the Institue for Supply Management releases the Manufacturing PMI data, the index is up 0.22% on the day at 97. Later in the American session, the Federal Open Market Committee will publish the minutes of its December meeting as well. Previewing the minutes, "Fed officials have consistently been signalling that a policy change will require a material reassessment of the outlook, but the policy is not on a preset course," noted TD Securities analysts.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price 1.2984
Today Daily Change -0.0004
Today Daily Change % -0.03
Today daily open 1.2988
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.3134
Daily SMA50 1.3184
Daily SMA100 1.3214
Daily SMA200 1.3257
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.301
Previous Daily Low 1.2968
Previous Weekly High 1.3272
Previous Weekly Low 1.3064
Previous Monthly High 1.3322
Previous Monthly Low 1.2951
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.2994
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.2984
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.2968
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.2948
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.2926
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.3008
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.303
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.305

 

 

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