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USD/CAD continues to trade below 1.3000 as oil rally offsets broad USD strength

  • WTI trades above $63 on escalating geopolitical tensions in Middle East.
  • US Dollar Index extends recovery to 97 area on Friday.
  • Coming up: ISM Manufacturing PMI and FOMC meeting minutes.

The USD/CAD pair rose above the 1.3000 handle earlier in the day but struggled to stretch higher as surging crude oil prices helped the commodity-related loonie stay resilient against the greenback. As of writing, the pair was up 0.06% on the day at 1.2986.

Oil rises on US-Iran conflict

After the US airstrike killed a top Iranian commander in Baghdad on Friday, crude oil prices rose sharply as investors started to price the potential negative impact on the oil supply from the area. The barrel of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) advanced to its highest level in seven months at $64.05 before pulling back modestly. Ahead of the US Energy Information Administration's weekly crude oil stock report, the WTI is trading at $63.30, adding 3.5% on a daily basis.

On the other hand, the greenback took advantage of the risk-off atmosphere with the US Dollar Index advancing beyond the 97 mark and turning positive for the week. 

Before the Institue for Supply Management releases the Manufacturing PMI data, the index is up 0.22% on the day at 97. Later in the American session, the Federal Open Market Committee will publish the minutes of its December meeting as well. Previewing the minutes, "Fed officials have consistently been signalling that a policy change will require a material reassessment of the outlook, but the policy is not on a preset course," noted TD Securities analysts.

Technical levels to watch for

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2984
Today Daily Change-0.0004
Today Daily Change %-0.03
Today daily open1.2988
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.3134
Daily SMA501.3184
Daily SMA1001.3214
Daily SMA2001.3257
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.301
Previous Daily Low1.2968
Previous Weekly High1.3272
Previous Weekly Low1.3064
Previous Monthly High1.3322
Previous Monthly Low1.2951
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2994
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2984
Daily Pivot Point S11.2968
Daily Pivot Point S21.2948
Daily Pivot Point S31.2926
Daily Pivot Point R11.3008
Daily Pivot Point R21.303
Daily Pivot Point R31.305

Author

Eren Sengezer

As an economist at heart, Eren Sengezer specializes in the assessment of the short-term and long-term impacts of macroeconomic data, central bank policies and political developments on financial assets.

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