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USD/CAD bulls taken out by New York traders

  • USD/CAD bears moving in as US dollar fades away.
  • Fed speak underpins the hawkish bias as the December meeting draws closer. 

The Canadian dollar ended the North American day higher vs. the US dollar. However, it hit a six-week low due to weaker oil prices and prospects of a stronger US dollar as hawks circle over the Federal Reserve. Additionally, the loonie slumped on Tuesday after domestic data showed that inflation rose at 4.7% in October, in line with market expectations.

Around the North American close, the price is flat near 1.2005. It had travelled between a low of 1.2592 and a high of 1.2647. Meanwhile, the greenback moved lower from a 16-month high on Thursday as investors gauged as to whether the greenback's rally was justified.

The currency hangs in the balance of diverging central bank expectations, stagflation risks and geopolitical standoffs between China and its competitors. The dollar index DXY, which measures the currency against a basket of six rivals, reached its highest since mid-July 2020 on Wednesday at 96.226, but was last down 0.28% at 95.541.

Fed speak underpins hawkish bias

Meanwhile, the analysts at ANZ Bank explained that the remarks from NY Fed President and FOMC Vice Chair John Williams that underlying inflation is broadening and picking up add weight to our assessment that the Fed is pivoting towards a more hawkish assessment of inflation.

''Transitory advocates, including Fed chair candidates Powell and Brainard, are becoming less common and it seems inevitable the December Summary of Economic Projections will see the majority of members pencil in rate rises next year.''

''The question is by how much, and also by how much the fed funds dot plot path can steepen. The December meeting will take place against a strong acceleration in activity. Manufacturing and private consumption activities are bouncing back. The latest Atlanta Fed GDPNow index is signalling Q4 growth is running at 8.2%, up from 2.0% in Q2.''

USD/CAD

Overview
Today last price1.2603
Today Daily Change-0.0009
Today Daily Change %-0.07
Today daily open1.2612
 
Trends
Daily SMA201.2445
Daily SMA501.2535
Daily SMA1001.2549
Daily SMA2001.2472
 
Levels
Previous Daily High1.2623
Previous Daily Low1.254
Previous Weekly High1.2605
Previous Weekly Low1.2387
Previous Monthly High1.2739
Previous Monthly Low1.2288
Daily Fibonacci 38.2%1.2591
Daily Fibonacci 61.8%1.2572
Daily Pivot Point S11.2561
Daily Pivot Point S21.2509
Daily Pivot Point S31.2478
Daily Pivot Point R11.2643
Daily Pivot Point R21.2674
Daily Pivot Point R31.2726

Author

Ross J Burland

Ross J Burland, born in England, UK, is a sportsman at heart. He played Rugby and Judo for his county, Kent and the South East of England Rugby team.

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