USD/CAD: A bearish “shooting star” on the daily chart – Scotiabank

FXStreet Insights Team FXStreet

The Canadian Dollar (CAD) is a little firmer this morning but barely so. The CAD is a relative underperformer on a day of broad US Dollar (USD) softness, with the MXN losing ground, amid focus on Trump’s support for wide-ranging tariffs in his Bloomberg interview, Scotiabank’s Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

Mixed momentum signals suggest choppy range trade

“CAD is a little firmer this morning but barely so. It’s a relative underperformer on a day of broad USD softness, with the MXN losing ground, amid focus on Trump’s support for wide-ranging tariffs in his Bloomberg interview.”

“Yesterday’s Canadian CPI data were mixed but a central bank that seems keen on easing rates at the moment will likely focus mostly on the lower than expected (-0.1% M/M) headline read than anything else. Swaps pricing shows a 25bps cut on the 24th is more or less fully priced in (21-22bps), nudging US/Canada term spreads out somewhat (2Y cash bond spreads wider to 67bps).”

“Spot losses from the intraday high yesterday left a bearish 'shooting star' candle signal on the daily chart, suggesting a nearterm peak for the USD may be in place. Modest intraday losses for the USD appear to have stalled around 1.3655/60 today, however. Mixed momentum signals suggest choppy range trade may extend a little more between 1.36/1.37.”

Author

FXStreet Insights Team

FXStreet

The FXStreet Insights Team is a group of journalists that handpicks selected market observations published by renowned experts. The content includes notes by commercial as well as additional insights by internal and external analysts.

EUR/USD holds losses below 1.1850 ahead of FOMC Minutes

EUR/USD stays on the back foot below 1.1850 in the European session on Wednesday, pressured by renewed US Dollar demand and reports that ECB President Lagarde will step down before the end of her term. Traders now look forward to the Minutes of the Fed's January monetary policy meeting for fresh signals on future rate cuts.

GBP/USD defends 1.3550 after UK inflation data

GBP/USD is holding above 1.3550 in Wednesday's European morning, little changed following the UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) data release. The UK inflation eased as expected in January, reaffirming bets for a March BoE interest rate cut, especially after Tuesday's weak employment report.

Gold retains bullish bias amid Fed rate cut bets, ahead of Fed Minutes

Gold sticks to modest intraday gains through the early European session, reversing a major part of the previous day's heavy losses of more than 2%, to the $4,843-4,842 region or a nearly two-week low. That said, the fundamental backdrop warrants caution for bulls ahead of the FOMC Minutes, which will look for more cues about the US Federal Reserve's rate-cut path.

Pi Network rally defies market pressure ahead of its first anniversary

Pi Network is trading above $0.1900 at press time on Wednesday, extending the weekly gains by nearly 8% so far. The steady recovery is supported by a short-term pause in mainnet migration, which reduces pressure on the PI token supply for Centralized Exchanges. The technical outlook focuses on the $0.1919 resistance as bullish momentum increases.

Mixed UK inflation data no gamechanger for the Bank of England

Food inflation plunged in January, but service sector price pressure is proving stickier. We continue to expect Bank of England rate cuts in March and June. The latest UK inflation read is a mixed bag for the Bank of England, but we doubt it drastically changes the odds of a March rate cut.

Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple face downside risk as bears regain control

Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Ripple remain under pressure on Wednesday, with the broader trend still sideways. BTC is edging below $68,000, nearing the lower consolidating boundary, while ETH and XRP also declined slightly, approaching their key supports.