US Stocks, S&P 500 closing bell forecast: Bullish prospects for the close


  • The bulls are pushing for a bullish close ahead of the Fed.
  • Evergrande contagion risks abate, risk-on sentiment improving.

At 4,362, during the time of writing, the S&P 500 is trading in the green and is headed for a bullish close for Tuesday. World stock markets have edged back after heavy selling at the start of the week which sent Wall Street in its biggest decline since May.

US stocks advanced in choppy midday trading on Tuesday after most Asian markets closed higher as beleaguered Chinese real-estate firm Evergrande edged closer to its debt payment deadline on Thursday.

At the time of writing, the Dow Jones Industrial Average is flat with S&P 500 up by 0.08% and Nasdaq higher by 0.26%. All three indexes traded lower earlier in the session. Ironically, real estate was the biggest gainer at the start of the day, with all but one sector in the green as investors grew more confident that contagion from the distress of Evergrande would be limited. 

Evergrande risks abate

“From our perspective, we … do not see any potential fundamental long-term effects on our portfolio companies,” said one London-based hedge fund professional, according to Reuters. However, “there could likely be a lot of volatility around this one in the short term.”

Meanwhile, S&P Global Ratings said in a report on Monday it does not expect Beijing to provide any direct support to Evergrande. "We believe Beijing would only be compelled to step in if there is a far-reaching contagion causing multiple major developers to fail and posing systemic risks to the economy," the rating agency said. "Evergrande failing alone would unlikely result in such a scenario," S&P said.

On Tuesday, MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe gained 0.35%, following Monday's biggest percentage drop in two months. European indexes also rose solidly. The Cboe Volatility Index retreated after hitting a four-month high a day earlier, last down 2.25 points to 23.46.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index .STOXX rose 1%, with Germany's DAX DB1 rising 1.4%. Canada's main stock index. GSPTSE gained as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's limited victory in the federal election raised hopes that his government would keep the stimulus taps open.

Top midday gainers

Helbiz (HLBZ) has agreed with Amazon's (AMZN) Italy unit to broadcast the entire Italian Serie B football championship on all devices and TVs equipped with Amazon Prime Video Channels throughout Italy.

Shares of Helbiz added 144% by Tuesday afternoon as the volume of trading catapulted to 41.2 million from the stock's daily average of 1.4 million.

Inotiv (NOTV) said it agreed to buy lab rodents breeder Envigo for $200 million in cash plus 9.4 million shares of its common stock. 

Inotiv has rallied 26%, with intraday daily trading volume more than tripling to over 288,000.

Viridian Therapeutics (VRDN) has put on a significant 19% following an offering by the company of common and preferred stock for gross proceeds of $85 million.

Top midday decliners

BC Bearings (ROLL) has started concurrent public offerings of 3 million shares of common stock and $400 million in aggregate liquidation preference of Series A mandatory convertible preferred stock. This sent its share price by 13% by Tuesday afternoon in strong trade volumes of 10x.

Vinco Ventures (BBIG) shares have dropped 13%, with the volume of trading at 41.6 million lagging the stock's daily average of 44.5 million.

Activision Blizzard (ATVI)  shares are down 3.7%, among the worst performers on both S&P 500 and Nasdaq.

The Fed is now eyed

Central bank meetings will soon to take center stage for markets, with a Federal Reserve meeting due to conclude on Wednesday as investors look for clude for when the Fed might ease its bond-buying program.

''No change in policy is expected but we expect a hawkish hold as the official statement and the minutes should continue to lay the groundwork for tapering this year,'' the analysts a Brown Brothers Harriman said, in a note, concluding with the following:

''The Fed is likely to wait until the November 2-3 meeting to make an official tapering announcement, with a likely start in December.  August building permits (-1.8% m/m expected) and housing starts (1.0% m/m expected) will be reported today, along with Q2 current account data (-$191 bln expected).''

S&P 500 technical analysis

Traders are testing the 15-min 50-EMA  that meets a critical level of resistance ahead of the close. 4,380 is in focus. 

Share: Feed news

Information on these pages contains forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Markets and instruments profiled on this page are for informational purposes only and should not in any way come across as a recommendation to buy or sell in these assets. You should do your own thorough research before making any investment decisions. FXStreet does not in any way guarantee that this information is free from mistakes, errors, or material misstatements. It also does not guarantee that this information is of a timely nature. Investing in Open Markets involves a great deal of risk, including the loss of all or a portion of your investment, as well as emotional distress. All risks, losses and costs associated with investing, including total loss of principal, are your responsibility. The views and opinions expressed in this article are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of FXStreet nor its advertisers. The author will not be held responsible for information that is found at the end of links posted on this page.

If not otherwise explicitly mentioned in the body of the article, at the time of writing, the author has no position in any stock mentioned in this article and no business relationship with any company mentioned. The author has not received compensation for writing this article, other than from FXStreet.

FXStreet and the author do not provide personalized recommendations. The author makes no representations as to the accuracy, completeness, or suitability of this information. FXStreet and the author will not be liable for any errors, omissions or any losses, injuries or damages arising from this information and its display or use. Errors and omissions excepted.

The author and FXStreet are not registered investment advisors and nothing in this article is intended to be investment advice.

Recommended content


Recommended content

Editors’ Picks

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.2700s after UK exit polls point to Labour victory

GBP/USD holds steady above mid-1.2700s after UK exit polls point to Labour victory

GBP/USD consolidates in a range just above mid-1.2700s during the Asian session on Friday after exit polls suggested that Britain’s main opposition Labour Party was set to win a massive majority in the UK general election. The outcome sets the stage for a rate cut by the Bank of England in August and acts as a headwind for the British Pound.

GBP/USD News

AUD/USD bulls take a brief pause near multi-month peak ahead of US NFP

AUD/USD bulls take a brief pause near multi-month peak ahead of US NFP

AUD/USD consolidates near a multi-month peak during the Asian session on Friday as traders keenly await the release of the US NFP report. In the meantime, expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve undermine the US Dollar and act as a tailwind for the pair amid bets for a rate hike by the Reserve Bank of Australia.

AUD/USD News

Gold price consolidates amid choppy trading ahead US NFP

Gold price consolidates amid choppy trading ahead US NFP

Gold price edge up 0.15% amid thin trading on US Independence Day. XAU/USD reached a two-week high of $2,365 Wednesday, driven by weak US jobs data and heightened Fed rate cut expectations. Traders shift focus to Friday's NFP report.

Gold News

Is the party over for meme coins?

Is the party over for meme coins?

According to Santiment's data on Thursday, meme coins have experienced steep declines in the past few weeks, following speculation that the crypto market has passed its euphoria phase.

Read more

Labour wins a landslide, as Pound is unconcerned by Starmer government

Labour wins a landslide, as Pound is unconcerned by Starmer government

What a difference five years makes, Labour have turned themselves around and are on course to win 410 seats and a 170-seat majority, according to the exit polls conducted by the main UK broadcasters.

Read more

Forex MAJORS

Cryptocurrencies

Signatures